Match Info

Date: 24 April 2022, Sunday


	Pineto		Castelfidardo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.4
	2	3.09	3.48
	2.01	3.24	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.05)	3.14 ↑ (2.91)	3.48 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pineto
45.4%

Draw
28.7%

Castelfidardo
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

30.9%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

33.6%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pineto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Castelfidardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Pineto is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Castelfidardo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castelfidardo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pineto will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pineto won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Pineto won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
20.04.22	Pineto - Porto DAscoli	0:0 ✺
14.04.22	Matese - Pineto	3:0 ✺
10.04.22	Pineto - Fano	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	Vastese - Pineto	2:0 ✺
13.03.22	Pineto - Roma City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLTLT
- Castelfidardo Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.04.22	Castelfidardo - Aurora Alto Casertano	5:1 ✺
10.04.22	Tolentino - Castelfidardo	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Castelfidardo - Montegiorgio	1:0 ✺
30.03.22	Notaresco - Castelfidardo	3:0 ✺
27.03.22	Castelfidardo - Sambenedettese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
08.12.21	Castelfidardo - Pineto	1:1
13.06.21	Pineto - Castelfidardo	1:2
03.02.21	Castelfidardo - Pineto	2:1
02.12.18	Pineto - Castelfidardo	2:0
15.04.18	Pineto - Castelfidardo	2:0

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