Match Info

Date: 7 May 2022, Saturday


	Castelfidardo		Trastevere

	1	X	2
	4.5	3	1.75
	4.64	2.97	1.78
	4.76	3.2	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↑ (3.61)	3.06 ↑ (2.89)	1.76 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelfidardo
19.4%

Draw
29.4%

Trastevere
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

30%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

28.1%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Trastevere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trastevere's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trastevere than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Castelfidardo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Trastevere is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Trastevere will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castelfidardo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castelfidardo Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
24.04.22	Pineto - Castelfidardo	2:1 ✺
14.04.22	Castelfidardo - Aurora Alto Casertano	5:1 ✺
10.04.22	Tolentino - Castelfidardo	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Castelfidardo - Montegiorgio	1:0 ✺
30.03.22	Notaresco - Castelfidardo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL
- Trastevere Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
24.04.22	Trastevere - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	2:0 ✺
14.04.22	Fano - Trastevere	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Trastevere - Nereto	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Porto DAscoli - Trastevere	0:3 ✺
30.03.22	Trastevere - Castelnuovo Vomano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
12.12.21	Trastevere - Castelfidardo	1:1

Castelfidardo - Trastevere: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide