Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 20

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday


	Fano		Tolentino

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.65
	2.35	3.3	2.6
	2.33	3.32	2.62
	2.6	2.75	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (1.94)	3.09 ↑ (2.93)	2.68 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fano
37.2%

Draw
29.1%

Tolentino
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

29.6%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

26.7%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fano's form might have worsened.

Tolentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tolentino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fano than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolentino than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tolentino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fano - Tolentino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Fano is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tolentino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tolentino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fano will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Fano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie D - Group F
15.01.23	Pineto - Fano	0:2 ✺
08.01.23	Fano - Nuova Florida	0:2 ✺
21.12.22	Fano - Notaresco	1:2 ✺
18.12.22	Chieti - Fano	2:0 ✺
11.12.22	Fano - Cynthialbalonga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLLLT
- US Tolentino
Italian Serie D - Group F
15.01.23	Tolentino - Termoli	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Vastese - Tolentino	2:0 ✺
21.12.22	Roma City - Tolentino	1:1 ✺
18.12.22	Tolentino - Porto DAscoli	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Trastevere - Tolentino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
18.09.22	Tolentino - Fano	0:0
30.03.22	Tolentino - Fano	0:1
14.11.21	Fano - Tolentino	3:1

Fano - Tolentino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide