Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 16

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday


	Tolentino		Porto DAscoli

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.95	2.5
	2.6	3.09	2.47
	2.62	2.8	2.55
	2.64	3.04	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (3.3)	2.97 ↓ (3.3)	2.52 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolentino
34.4%

Draw
30.1%

Porto DAscoli
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tolentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tolentino's performance.

Porto DAscoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porto DAscoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolentino than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tolentino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto DAscoli than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto DAscoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs)).

Tolentino is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Porto D'Ascoli is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tolentino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tolentino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Tolentino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Tolentino
Italian Serie D - Group F
11.12.22	Trastevere - Tolentino	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.12.22	Pineto - Tolentino	5:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
04.12.22	Tolentino - Avezzano	1:2 ✺
27.11.22	Tolentino - Pineto	0:2 ✺
20.11.22	Nuova Florida - Tolentino	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLLLT
- SSD Porto DAscoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
11.12.22	Porto DAscoli - Pineto	1:3 ✺
27.11.22	Porto DAscoli - Notaresco	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	Chieti - Porto DAscoli	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	Montegiorgio - Porto DAscoli	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
02.11.22	Porto DAscoli - Pineto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
13.03.22	Tolentino - Porto DAscoli	2:1
31.10.21	Porto DAscoli - Tolentino	1:0

Tolentino - Porto DAscoli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide