Match Info

Date: 10 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior (Rio Maior)

Referee: Costa Teixeira Afonso J. P. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Vilafranquense		Benfica B

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.6	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.4
	2	3.1	3.65
	2.04	3.35	3.45
	2.06	3.32	4.03
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	1.94	3.38	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.25)	3.25 ↑ (3)	3.62 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilafranquense
46.3%

Draw
28.3%

Benfica B
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilafranquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vilafranquense's performance.

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	35.7%	21.4%

Vilafranquense - Benfica B Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Vilafranquense will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Benfica B will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vilafranquense: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vilafranquense won 0.

Vilafranquense is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Benfica B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vilafranquense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vilafranquense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Vilafranquense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Vilafranquense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
03.09.22	Porto B - Vilafranquense	0:1 ✺
26.08.22	Vilafranquense - Feirense	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Trofense - Vilafranquense	1:3 ✺
14.08.22	Vilafranquense - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
07.08.22	Moreirense - Vilafranquense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWWWL
- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
03.09.22	Benfica B - Leixões	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Torreense - Benfica B	0:0 ✺
17.08.22	Benfica B - Estrela da Amadora	1:2 ✺
12.08.22	Tondela - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
06.08.22	Benfica B - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
01.05.22	Vilafranquense - Benfica B	1:2
20.12.21	Benfica B - Vilafranquense	0:0
31.01.21	Vilafranquense - Benfica B	2:2
13.09.20	Benfica B - Vilafranquense	3:2
02.02.20	Benfica B - Vilafranquense	4:0
18.08.19	Vilafranquense - Benfica B	4:0

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