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Current Win Probability
Estrela da Amadora 36.2%
Draw 30.9%
Farense 32.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
30.8%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
31%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
35.7%
57.1%
7.1%
Estrela da Amadora - Farense Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Farense will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% โ 83%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Estrela (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Farense (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Estrela (votes: 3 - 60%). Farense (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Costa J. (G) 27. Pantalon R. 5. Drame I. 21. Montoia G. 2. Travassos 22. Leo Cordeiro (C) 42. Keliano M. 28. Lima R. 98. Kikas 9. Rodrigo Pinho 17. Chico Banza
1. Kaique Pereira (G) 28. Pastor 5. Ribeiro T. 29. Claudio Falcao 31. Derick Poloni 20. Rony Lopes 6. Neto (C) 93. Menino M. 2. Paulo Victor 9. Tomane 19. Costa R.
Substitutes
12. Amine 26. Bucca L. 4. Ferro 97. Jovane 1. Meixedo F. (G) 19. Moreira P. 10. Ruiz A. 44. Semeu 11. Sousa G.
11. Bermejo A. 22. Carvalho M. (G) 4. Jorge A. 77. Matias M. 10. Njie Y. 14. Poveda D. 34. Raul Silva 21. Soares F. 8. Ze Carlos
Coaches
Silva L.
Marreco T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Rodrigo Pinho (Pen),
44', Lima R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Costa R. ⚽, Derick Poloni (A),
57', Rodrigo Pinho ↓, Amine ↑,
58', Keliano M. ↓, Jovane ↑,
73', Chico Banza ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
73', Lima R. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
77', Costa R. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
86', Menino M. ↓, Matias M. ↑,
86', Paulo Victor ↓, Jorge A. ↑,
90+1', Montoia G. ↓, Sousa G. ↑,
90+3', Rony Lopes ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
90+4', Tomane ↓, Njie Y. ↑,
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Estrela won 0.
Recent matches Estrela is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Farense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Farense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Estrela: Lopes M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Estrela: Mina J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Farense: Balde E.
(Inactive)
Moreno M.
(Inactive)
Poveda D.
(Inactive)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Estrela won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:11 (average 1:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Estrela won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.5:1.3).
Finland
Portugal
Romania
Ukraine
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Costa J. (G) 
Pantalon R. 
Drame I. 
Leo Cordeiro (C) 
Keliano M. 
Amine 
Bucca L. 
Jovane 
Semeu 
Bermejo A. 
Njie Y. 
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