Match Info

National League South - Round 12

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
New Zealand	03:00	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	11:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN


	Farnborough		Dagenham & Redbridge

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.40	1.95
	2.88	3.45	2.10
	3.36	3.72	2.02
	3.28	3.74	2.01	Watch
	3.30	3.65	1.99
	3.23	3.75	2.03
	3.20	3.55	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.85)	3.61 ↑ (3.45)	2.01 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farnborough
28.8%

Draw
25.5%

Dagenham & Redbridge
45.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.3%

25.8%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

25.2%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farnborough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Dagenham & Redbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Farnborough - Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Dewsbury O. ⚽,
64', 2 - 0, Dewsbury O. ⚽,
82', Vincent L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 18th and 5th in the Promotion - National League South Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Farnborough has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Dagenham have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Dagenham may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Dagenham is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Farnborough has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Farnborough against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Dag & Red	14	7	2	5	13:11	2	23
19	Farnborough	12	4	2	6	10:19	-9	14

Outrights of English National League South for now

Farnborough: 0.75%

Last Results with these Odds

Dagenham & Redbridge - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 42.87%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farnborough
English National League South
10.10.26	Billericay Town - Farnborough	4:0 ✺
26.09.26	Walton & Hersham - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
22.09.26	Farnborough - Uxbridge	0:2 ✺
English National League South
12.09.26	Farnborough - Dover Athletic	0:1 ✺
08.09.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Farnborough	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTLLL
- Dagenham & Redbridge
English National League South
10.10.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Brentwood Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	3:1 ✺
English National League South
26.09.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
22.09.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Waltham Abbey	3:0 ✺
English National League South
12.09.26	Weston-super-Mare - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
17.03.26	Farnborough - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:3
01.11.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Farnborough	0:0

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