Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday


	Farnborough		St Albans City

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.4	3.4
	1.87	3.6	3.75
	1.9	3.47	3.75
	1.88	3.52	3.66
	1.91	3.58	3.63
	1.87	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)	3.53 ↑ (3.5)	3.66 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farnborough
48.8%

Draw
26.1%

St Albans City
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

26.2%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

25.1%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farnborough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Farnborough - St Albans City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 1 - 0, Matthews Lewis M. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Farnborough won 2.

Recent matches Farnborough is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

St Albans has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Farnborough will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Farnborough won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Farnborough won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farnborough
English National League South
26.08.24	Farnborough - Tonbridge Angels	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Welling United - Farnborough	4:1 ✺
20.08.24	Farnborough - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Farnborough - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
10.08.24	Chippenham Town - Farnborough	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWWW
- St Albans City
English National League South
26.08.24	Dorking Wanderers - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	St Albans City - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
20.08.24	Hornchurch - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	St Albans City - Worthing	2:2 ✺
10.08.24	St Albans City - Maidstone United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
06.01.24	St Albans City - Farnborough	2:1
14.10.23	Farnborough - St Albans City	2:1
29.04.23	St Albans City - Farnborough	2:0
24.09.22	Farnborough - St Albans City	1:2
17.11.14	St Albans City - Farnborough	2:3
16.08.14	Farnborough - St Albans City	0:1

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