Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 17

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday


	Farnham Town		Poole Town

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.7	3.25
	1.9	3.79	3.4
	1.86	4.07	3.40	Watch
	1.85	3.64	3.49
	1.7	3.95	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.7)	3.83 ↓ (3.95)	3.57 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farnham Town
50.1%

Draw
24.1%

Poole Town
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

23.6%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

23.3%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farnham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farnham Town than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Farnham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Farnham Town - Poole Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Davis C. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Booth B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Poole may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Farnham could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Farnham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farnham Town
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Horsham - Farnham Town	2:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
08.11.25	Evesham United - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Basingstoke Town - Farnham Town	1:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Farnham Town - Bishops Cleeve	3:2 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
21.10.25	Farnham Town - Walton & Hersham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWL
- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
01.11.25	Poole Town - Gosport Borough	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
22.10.25	Taunton Town - Poole Town	1:4 ✺
18.10.25	Gloucester City - Poole Town	3:2 ✺
14.10.25	Poole Town - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
09.09.25	Poole Town - Farnham Town	2:2

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