Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 14

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Poole Town		Gosport Borough

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.78
	2.15	3.73	2.91	Watch
	2.19	3.4	2.86
	2.16	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.12)	3.51 ↓ (3.55)	2.89 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poole Town
42.3%

Draw
26.1%

Gosport Borough
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

26.2%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

26%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poole Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Gosport Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (-2%)

Poole Town - Gosport Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 0 - 1, Wooden D. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poole won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Poole will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Poole won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:18. (average 2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Poole won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Poole Town - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.88%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poole Town
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
22.10.25	Taunton Town - Poole Town	1:4 ✺
18.10.25	Gloucester City - Poole Town	3:2 ✺
14.10.25	Poole Town - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Poole Town - Weymouth	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWW
- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
25.10.25	Sholing - Gosport Borough	2:2 ✺
22.10.25	Gosport Borough - Bracknell Town	6:1 ✺
18.10.25	Gosport Borough - Basingstoke Town	3:4 ✺
11.10.25	Gosport Borough - Hungerford Town	3:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Plymouth Parkway - Gosport Borough	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
13.09.25	Gosport Borough - Poole Town	0:3
English Southern League South Division
08.02.25	Gosport Borough - Poole Town	1:0
02.11.24	Poole Town - Gosport Borough	1:3
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Poole Town - Gosport Borough	1:2 penalties
English Southern League South Division
06.03.24	Gosport Borough - Poole Town	1:2
12.09.23	Poole Town - Gosport Borough	2:0
04.02.23	Poole Town - Gosport Borough	1:1

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