Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday


	Gloucester City		Poole Town

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.45	3.25
	1.91	3.45	3.6
	1.94	3.66	3.57	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.2
	1.96	3.82	3.36
	1.66	3.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.75)	3.55 ↓ (3.8)	3.4 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
48%

Draw
25.5%

Poole Town
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

23.9%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

23.9%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Gloucester City - Poole Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gloucester will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Poole will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Poole (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Poole (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Slade H. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Siddall R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 2, Gwengwe S. ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, Hanks J. ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
111', 3 - 2, O'Regan M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gloucester won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gloucester is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gloucester won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 2.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gloucester won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Poole	10	7	0	3	17:12	5	21
19	Gloucester	9	1	4	4	12:17	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
25.04.26	Gloucester City - Walton & Hersham	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Yate Town - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Dorchester Town - Gloucester City	0:5 ✺
06.04.26	Gloucester City - Taunton Town	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Hanwell Town - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW
- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
25.04.26	Uxbridge - Poole Town	3:3 ✺
18.04.26	Poole Town - Havant & Waterlooville	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Chertsey Town - Poole Town	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Poole Town - Wimborne Town	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Evesham United - Poole Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
28.02.26	Poole Town - Gloucester City	1:2
18.10.25	Gloucester City - Poole Town	3:2
22.02.25	Poole Town - Gloucester City	0:1
30.11.24	Gloucester City - Poole Town	4:1
English National League South
03.02.18	Gloucester City - Poole Town	2:2
28.10.17	Poole Town - Gloucester City	0:3

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