Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 15

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Flamingo Land Stadium (Scarborough)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Scarborough Athletic		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.25
	2.75	3.1	2.25
	2.95	3.2	2.35
	3.08	3.05	2.38
	3.06	3.09	2.42	Watch
	3	3	2.38
	3	3.16	2.31
	2.95	3.2	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.53)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)	2.34 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scarborough Athletic
31.5%

Draw
29.1%

Brackley Town
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

27.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.4%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scarborough Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Scarborough Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-4%)

Scarborough Athletic - Brackley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Donawa J. 🟥,
28', 1 - 0, Weledji K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Roberts M. ⚽,
90+9', 2 - 1, Brown A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 17 and 9).

Scarborough is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Brackley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Scarborough could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Scarborough won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 0.8:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Scarborough won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
07.12.24	King`s Lynn Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Needham Market - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
26.11.24	Scarborough Athletic - Warrington Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Stockton Town - Scarborough Athletic	3:1 ✺
English National League North
09.11.24	Oxford City - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLT
- Brackley Town
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Stockport County - Brackley Town	3:1 ✺
English National League North
26.11.24	Rushall Olympic - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
17.11.24	Hashtag United - Brackley Town	3:2 ✺
English National League North
12.11.24	Buxton - Brackley Town	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Brackley Town - Darlington	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
23.12.23	Brackley Town - Scarborough Athletic	0:1
09.09.23	Scarborough Athletic - Brackley Town	2:0
31.01.23	Scarborough Athletic - Brackley Town	0:0
06.08.22	Brackley Town - Scarborough Athletic	2:0

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