Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 20

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: RAW Charging Stadium (Oxford)


	Oxford City		Farsley

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	4.33
	1.61	3.75	4.33
	1.63	4	4.75	Watch
	1.65	3.75	4.83
	1.68	3.78	4.85
	1.55	3.9	5
	1.63	3.88	4.74
	1.63	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.03)	3.88 ↑ (3.7)	4.7 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
56.7%

Draw
23.7%

Farsley
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

24.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

24.4%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oxford City's performance.

Farsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Farsley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oxford City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Farsley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Oxford City - Farsley Predictions

Users Predictions: Oxford City will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Andrews C. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Ashby J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 3 - 0, Scott T. ⚽,
72', 4 - 0, McEachran Z. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 19).

Oxford City is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Farsley is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Farsley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Farsley have a series of guest games.

In this match Oxford City is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League North
26.11.24	Chester - Oxford City	3:1 ✺
23.11.24	Buxton - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
19.11.24	Oxford City - Alfreton Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Oxford City - Sporting Khalsa	5:0 ✺
English National League North
09.11.24	Oxford City - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWT
- Farsley AFC
English National League North
26.11.24	Farsley - Chorley	0:1 ✺
23.11.24	South Shields - Farsley	5:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Bamber Bridge - Farsley	0:1 ✺
English National League North
09.11.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Farsley	1:0 ✺
05.11.24	King`s Lynn Town - Farsley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLWLW

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