Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 19

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday


	Farsley		Chorley

	1	X	2
	5	3.6	1.57
	4.6	3.6	1.6
	5	3.75	1.63	Watch
	5.22	3.76	1.6
	5.18	3.71	1.66	Watch
	5	3.6	1.6
	5.04	3.7	1.63
	5	3.75	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (3.22)	3.68 ↑ (3.43)	1.62 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farsley
18.3%

Draw
24.9%

Chorley
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

26.7%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

26.4%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Farsley's form might have worsened.

Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chorley's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Farsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chorley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Farsley - Chorley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Ormerod D. ⚽,
86', Watson R. 🟥,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 18 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Farsley won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Farsley have a series of guest games.

In this match Chorley is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Farsley won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:14 (average 1.6:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Farsley won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farsley AFC
English National League North
23.11.24	South Shields - Farsley	5:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Bamber Bridge - Farsley	0:1 ✺
English National League North
09.11.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Farsley	1:0 ✺
05.11.24	King`s Lynn Town - Farsley	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Farsley - Darlington	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWLWL
- Chorley
English National League North
23.11.24	Chester - Chorley	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Chorley - Marine	3:1 ✺
English National League North
09.11.24	Chorley - Leamington	2:1 ✺
05.11.24	Marine - Chorley	3:0 ✺
02.11.24	Chorley - King`s Lynn Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
27.01.24	Chorley - Farsley	1:1
12.08.23	Farsley - Chorley	1:1
18.02.23	Farsley - Chorley	0:0
29.10.22	Chorley - Farsley	4:3
05.02.22	Farsley - Chorley	3:3
30.10.21	Chorley - Farsley	2:1
16.01.21	Chorley - Farsley	3:2

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