Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 15

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Farsley		Darlington

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.4	3.25	2.1
	3.45	3.29	2.12
	3.42	3.42	2.08
	3.5	3.2	2
	3.37	3.24	2.1
	3.4	3.25	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (4.08)	3.29 ↓ (3.84)	2.07 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farsley
27.5%

Draw
28%

Darlington
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

23.8%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

22.6%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darlington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darlington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Farsley - Darlington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Al-Shabeeb A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 2, Forbes E. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 16 and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Farsley won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Darlington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Darlington will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Farsley won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:17 (average 1.6:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Farsley won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.6:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farsley AFC
English National League North
29.10.24	Scunthorpe United - Farsley	6:0 ✺
26.10.24	Hereford - Farsley	3:0 ✺
23.10.24	Farsley - Peterborough Sports	3:0 ✺
18.10.24	Farsley - Spennymoor Town	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Farsley - Kettering Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL
- Darlington FC
English National League North
26.10.24	Darlington - Warrington Town	2:2 ✺
22.10.24	Chorley - Darlington	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Rushall Olympic - Darlington	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	King`s Lynn Town - Darlington	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Darlington - Gainsborough Trinity	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
13.04.24	Darlington - Farsley	3:1
04.11.23	Farsley - Darlington	1:2
21.03.23	Farsley - Darlington	3:1
29.08.22	Darlington - Farsley	1:0
02.05.22	Darlington - Farsley	1:1
08.01.22	Farsley - Darlington	0:6
12.01.21	Farsley - Darlington	1:0

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