Match Info

Date: 5 April 2022, Tuesday


	Farsley		Guiseley

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.1
	2.02	3.35	3.15
	2.13	3.2	3.15
	2.18	3.46	3.16
	2.1	3.2	3.2
	2.14	3.36	3.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.46)	3.28 ↓ (3.31)	3.15 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farsley
43.3%

Draw
27.8%

Guiseley
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

28.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

28.2%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Farsley's performance.

Guiseley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guiseley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farsley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guiseley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Farsley - Guiseley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 4 head-to-head matches Farsley won 0.

Recent matches Farsley is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guiseley is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Farsley will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Farsley won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Farsley won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farsley AFC
English National League North
02.04.22	Fylde - Farsley	2:1 ✺
26.03.22	Farsley - AFC Telford United	1:1 ✺
22.03.22	Farsley - Leamington	1:0 ✺
19.03.22	Curzon Ashton - Farsley	1:2 ✺
12.03.22	Alfreton Town - Farsley	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LTWWT
- Guiseley
English National League North
02.04.22	Chorley - Guiseley	2:0 ✺
26.03.22	Guiseley - Chester	0:2 ✺
22.03.22	Guiseley - AFC Telford United	0:0 ✺
19.03.22	Leamington - Guiseley	1:0 ✺
15.03.22	Guiseley - Blyth Spartans	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
02.01.22	Guiseley - Farsley	0:0
26.12.20	Guiseley - Farsley	2:2
01.01.20	Farsley - Guiseley	0:1
26.12.19	Guiseley - Farsley	2:0

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