The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chorley 62.4%
Draw 22.6%
Guiseley 14.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.9%
22.4%
13.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67%
21.4%
13.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Guiseley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Chorley - Guiseley Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Chorley won 3.
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
Recently Guiseley have a series of home games.
In this match Chorley is indisputable favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Chorley won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Chorley won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-4.