Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Tameside Stadium (Ashton-under-Lyne)


	Curzon Ashton		Farsley

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	8.5
	1.31	4.6	7.75
	1.33	4.75	8.5
	1.31	4.88	9.36
	1.35	4.67	9.26	Watch
	1.33	4.6	9
	1.31	4.85	8.8
	1.33	4.75	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.46)	4.7 ↑ (4.15)	8.71 ↑ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curzon Ashton
69.7%

Draw
19.7%

Farsley
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

22%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

20.6%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curzon Ashton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Curzon Ashton's performance.

Farsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Curzon Ashton - Farsley Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Curzon Ashton will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Farsley will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
32', 1 - 0, Spencer J. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, O'Boyle F. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, O'Boyle F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Matthews D. 🟥,
72', 1 - 3, Campton-Sturridge D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Curzon Ashton won 1.

Curzon Ashton is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Farsley has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Curzon Ashton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Curzon Ashton is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Curzon Ashton to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Curzon Ashton won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:12 (average 1.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Curzon Ashton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:5 (average 2.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
21.12.24	Leamington - Curzon Ashton	4:1 ✺
14.12.24	Curzon Ashton - South Shields	3:0 ✺
10.12.24	Warrington Town - Curzon Ashton	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Chorley - Curzon Ashton	0:3 ✺
26.11.24	Curzon Ashton - Southport	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWW
- Farsley AFC
English National League North
21.12.24	Farsley - Brackley Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
17.12.24	Gateshead - Farsley	8:1 ✺
English National League North
14.12.24	Farsley - Buxton	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Oxford City - Farsley	4:1 ✺
26.11.24	Farsley - Chorley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
06.01.24	Curzon Ashton - Farsley	0:0
12.12.23	Farsley - Curzon Ashton	2:1
28.01.23	Curzon Ashton - Farsley	5:2
27.08.22	Farsley - Curzon Ashton	1:1
19.03.22	Curzon Ashton - Farsley	1:2
09.10.21	Farsley - Curzon Ashton	2:0
17.10.20	Curzon Ashton - Farsley	2:1

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