Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday


	Alfreton Town		Farsley

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.33
	1.72	3.4	4
	1.72	3.6	4.5
	1.74	3.6	4.42
	1.73	3.7	4.63
	1.74	3.64	4.4
	1.72	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.92)	3.58 ↑ (3.55)	4.4 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfreton Town
53.4%

Draw
25.7%

Farsley
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

25.7%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

25.1%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfreton Town's performance.

Farsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Farsley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Farsley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alfreton Town - Farsley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Allan T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
76', 1 - 1, Hunt M. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, Abbey J. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alfreton won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Farsley have a series of guest games.

In this match Alfreton is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Alfreton won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Alfreton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfreton Town
English National League North
26.08.24	Needham Market - Alfreton Town	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Alfreton Town - Chester	2:2 ✺
20.08.24	Leamington - Alfreton Town	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	Alfreton Town - King`s Lynn Town	3:0 ✺
10.08.24	Southport - Alfreton Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTWL
- Farsley AFC
English National League North
26.08.24	Warrington Town - Farsley	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Scarborough Athletic - Farsley	2:1 ✺
20.08.24	Marine - Farsley	0:3 ✺
17.08.24	Buxton - Farsley	2:1 ✺
10.08.24	Rushall Olympic - Farsley	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
09.03.24	Farsley - Alfreton Town	2:3
28.10.23	Alfreton Town - Farsley	2:0
07.01.23	Alfreton Town - Farsley	1:0
13.08.22	Farsley - Alfreton Town	0:0
12.03.22	Alfreton Town - Farsley	0:0
25.09.21	Farsley - Alfreton Town	0:3
14.11.20	Alfreton Town - Farsley	3:1

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