Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 27 July 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadionul Farul (Constanta) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dohal M. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Romania	20:30	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2


	Farul Constanța		Urartu Yerevan

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.55	3.8	5.5
	1.58	4	5.25
	1.61	4	5
	1.61	4	5.2
	1.57	3.88	6.05	Watch
	1.6	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.35)	3.93 ↓ (5)	5.39 ↓ (8.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farul Constanța
58.9%

Draw
23.8%

Urartu Yerevan
17.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.9%

18.9%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

16.4%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farul Constanța has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Farul Constanța's form might have worsened.

Urartu Yerevan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Urartu Yerevan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farul Constanța than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urartu Yerevan than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Farul Constanța - Urartu Yerevan Predictions

Users Predictions: Farul Constanța will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aioani M. (G) 25. Kiki D. 17. Larie I. (C) 3. Popescu M. 27. Borza S. 6. Baluta T. 16. Nedelcu D. 24. Grameni C. 26. Mazilu A. 7. Alibec D. 20. Benchaib A.	42. Melikhov A. (G) 4. Tsymbalyuk Y. 3. Piloyan E. 13. Zotko I. 2. Antwi N. 5. Salou D. 33. Marcos Junior 88. Margaryan Z. (C) 28. Mogilevets P. 55. Maksimenko A. 11. Grigoryan N.
Substitutes
18. Artean A. 88. Banu L. 21. Boli K. 1. Buzbuchi A. (G) 11. Mateus Criciuma 80. Popescu N. 5. Queiros D. 9. Rivaldinho 77. Sali E. 22. Sirbu D. 13. Vianna F. 8. Vina I.	31. Abakumov D. (G) 9. Aghasaryan N. 77. Dzhikiya T. 6. Ghazaryan A. 16. Isaac B. 10. Melkonyan K. 22. Mirzoyan M. 23. Ozbiliz A. 90. Polyakov O. 24. Stojanovic U. 1. Umreyan M. (G)
Coaches
Hagi G.	Gunko D.

Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Farul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Farul is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farul Constanța
Romanian SuperLiga
22.07.23	Farul Constanța - Voluntari	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.07.23	Sheriff Tiraspol - Farul Constanța	3:0 ET ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
15.07.23	Hermannstadt - Farul Constanța	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.07.23	Farul Constanța - Sheriff Tiraspol	1:0 ✺
Romanian Super Cup
08.07.23	Farul Constanța - Sepsi OSK	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWL
- FC Urartu Yerevan
UEFA Champions League
18.07.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Urartu Yerevan	3:3 penalties ✺
11.07.23	Urartu Yerevan - Zrinjski Mostar	0:1 ✺
Armenian Premier League
06.06.23	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat	1:1 ✺
02.06.23	Pyunik - Urartu Yerevan	0:1 ✺
27.05.23	Alashkert - Urartu Yerevan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WLTWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farul Constanța
Romanian SuperLiga
02.11.26	Voluntari - Farul Constanța	✺
- FC Urartu Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
30.10.26	Pyunik - Urartu Yerevan	✺

Farul Constanța - Urartu Yerevan