Match Info

Superliga - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stadionul Municipal (Sibiu)

Referee: Birsan M. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1


	Hermannstadt		Farul Constanța

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	3.5	Watch
	2.02	3.2	3.5
	2.03	3.3	4.21
	2.11	3.18	3.63	Watch
	2	3.1	3.6
	2.02	3.49	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.52)	3.26 ↑ (3.05)	3.69 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hermannstadt
46.2%

Draw
28.6%

Farul Constanța
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

30%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

29.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hermannstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hermannstadt's performance.

Farul Constanța has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Farul Constanța might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hermannstadt than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hermannstadt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farul Constanța than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Farul Constanța could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Hermannstadt - Farul Constanța Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hermannstadt will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Farul will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hermannstadt: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lazar D. (G) 66. Capusa T. 2. Chorbadzhiyski B. 3. Karo A. 98. Ciubotaru K. 8. Albu D. 24. Ivanov A. 36. Zargary A. 96. Balaure S. 19. Gjorgjievski M. 10. Negut C. (C)	12. Munteanu R. (G) 98. Maftei D. 15. Tiru B. 4. Gustavo Marins 11. Ganea C. 8. Vina I. 22. Sirbu D. 20. Radaslavescu E. 30. Grigoryan N. 7. Alibec D. (C) 31. Isfan A.
Substitutes
15. Afalna C. 27. Barstan I. 11. Bus S. 16. Issah S. 7. Jair 31. Mutiu V. (G) 22. Pop I. (G) 29. Ritivoi S. 70. Simba M. 77. Stancu L. 4. Stoica I.	18. Banu L. 1. Buzbuchi A. (G) 16. Constantinescu N. 6. Dican V. 5. Dutu S. 93. Furtado S. 29. Goncear A. 77. Ramalho 71. Tanasa R. 9. Vojtus J.
Coaches
Munteanu D.	Zicu I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Grigoryan N. ↓, Tanasa R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Gjorgjievski M. ↓, Bus S. ↑,
61', Radaslavescu E. ↓, Furtado S. ↑,
61', Vina I. ↓, Ramalho ↑,
64', Balaure S. ↓, Afalna C. ↑,
70', Sirbu D. ↓, Dican V. ↑,
70', Alibec D. ↓, Goncear A. ↑,
74', Dican V. 🟨,
75', Zargary A. ↓, Stancu L. ↑,
90+1', Tiru B. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 0, Stancu L. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hermannstadt won 1.

In recent matches, Hermannstadt has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Farul's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hermannstadt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hermannstadt has had a series of away games.

Hermannstadt could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Hermannstadt: Batista D. (Inactive) Florescu E. (Red Card) Kujabi K. (Injury)

There will not play in Farul: Cojocaru I. (Inactive) Iancu G. (Inactive) Pellegrini L. (Injury) Sima C. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hermannstadt won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hermannstadt won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Farul Constanta	10	3	5	2	14:14	0	14

Last Results with these Odds

Hermannstadt - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.33%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Farul Constanța - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 33.66%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hermannstadt
Romanian SuperLiga
04.04.26	Oţelul Galaţi - Hermannstadt	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Hermannstadt - Botoșani	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	UTA Arad - Hermannstadt	3:2 ✺
08.03.26	Oţelul Galaţi - Hermannstadt	0:2 ✺
Romanian Cup
03.03.26	Universitatea Cluj - Hermannstadt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLWL
- Farul Constanța
Romanian SuperLiga
05.04.26	Farul Constanța - Unirea Slobozia	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.03.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Farul Constanța	3:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
21.03.26	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - Farul Constanța	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Farul Constanța - Petrolul Ploieşti	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - Farul Constanța	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
17.01.26	Farul Constanța - Hermannstadt	1:1
25.08.25	Hermannstadt - Farul Constanța	1:0
19.04.25	Farul Constanța - Hermannstadt	1:1
21.12.24	Hermannstadt - Farul Constanța	0:0
Romanian Cup
03.12.24	Hermannstadt - Farul Constanța	1:1
Romanian SuperLiga
19.08.24	Farul Constanța - Hermannstadt	3:2
11.11.23	Farul Constanța - Hermannstadt	1:1

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