Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 21

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Atatürk Olimpiyat (Istanbul)

Referee: Mertoglu E. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Fatih Karagümrükspor		Çorum

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.8
	1.83	3.6	4.2
	1.84	3.62	4.35
	1.82	3.55	4.3
	1.83	3.3	4
	1.81	3.51	4.34	Watch
	1.83	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.98)	3.51 ↑ (3.25)	4.19 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatih Karagümrükspor
51.3%

Draw
26.5%

Çorum
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

28.2%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

27.2%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Çorum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Çorum than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Çorum Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Çorum will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karagümrük: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Beklevic F. (G) 23. Ulvan T. 4. Demir Y. E. 3. Djilobodji P. 33. Kurukalip C. 35. Cankaya A. R. 11. Johnson D. 7. Camacho J. 19. Gurpuz G. 10. Dovedan N. 9. Wesley Moraes	27. Akinay H. (G) 22. Kalafat K. 5. Toure Z. 3. Landre L. 25. Seven K. 6. Yazgan F. 11. Kaya S. 8. Akkaynak A. 14. Ergul T. 39. Kas E. 9. Verheydt T.
Substitutes
18. Akgun A. 1. Bilgin E. (G) 94. Cinar A. 6. Dabanli B. 90. Demiroglu B. 91. Gray A. 72. Kalayci B. 20. Mert M. 17. Sivri A. 22. Tintis E.	7. Akdogan H. 53. Bozaci C. 92. Cangoz A. 34. Catic A. 33. Guler M. (G) 99. Karadag E. 23. Sol O. 41. Suleyman B. 89. Turan A. 19. Yalcinkaya M.
Coaches
Ak O.	Ozbalta S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Johnson D. ⚽, Wesley Moraes (A),
26', Kaya S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Wesley Moraes 🟥,
63', Ergul T. ↓, Karadag E. ↑,
63', Landre L. ↓, Suleyman B. ↑,
63', Camacho J. ↓, Dabanli B. ↑,
70', Johnson D. 🟨,
70', Johnson D. 🟨,
75', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
75', Kalafat K. ↓, Catic A. ↑,
76', Dovedan N. ↓, Mert M. ↑,
84', Kaya S. ↓, Turan A. ↑,
84', Akkaynak A. ↓, Cangoz A. ↑,
90+2', Gurpuz G. ↓, Sivri A. ↑,
90+9', Beklevic F. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Karagümrük is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Çorum is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karagümrük could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Çorum have a series of home games.

In this match Karagümrük is a favorite.

There will not play in Karagümrük: Doh M. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Çorum: Asci M. (Knee Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish First League
18.01.25	Amed SK - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Igdirspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
07.01.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:0 ✺
Turkish First League
04.01.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Pendikspor	0:2 ✺
22.12.24	Keçiörengücü - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWWLW
- Çorum FK
Turkish First League
18.01.25	Çorum - Umraniyespor	3:1 ✺
13.01.25	Çorum - İstanbulspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
09.01.25	Çorum - Konyaspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish First League
04.01.25	Şanlıurfaspor - Çorum	0:0 ✺
22.12.24	Çorum - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
18.08.24	Çorum - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:2

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