Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 14

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Atatürk Olimpiyat (Istanbul)

Referee: Kursad Filiz M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, TRT Spor


	Fatih Karagümrükspor		Erokspor

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.52	3.9	5
	1.57	4.2	5.5
	1.56	4.22	5.59
	1.57	4.08	5.49	Watch
	1.53	3.9	5
	1.55	4.1	5.17
	1.57	4.2	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.61)	4.06 ↑ (3.92)	5.31 ↑ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatih Karagümrükspor
59.8%

Draw
22.8%

Erokspor
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

23.6%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

23%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erokspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Beklevic F. (G) 35. Cankaya A. R. 4. Demir Y. E. 6. Dabanli B. 33. Kurukalip C. 11. Johnson D. 14. Doh M. 7. Camacho J. 19. Gurpuz G. 70. Lamkel Ze D. 9. Wesley	1. Kilicarslan E. (G) 15. Nzaba F. 14. Mert M. 5. Aytac S. 53. Albayrak M. 26. Jack R. 4. Kacar T. 70. Orak F. 21. Oscar Pinchi 78. Fernandes J. 9. Catakovic H.
Substitutes
97. Akyuz F. (G) 94. Cinar A. 90. Demiroglu B. 10. Dovedan N. 20. Mert M. 21. Paoletti F. 17. Sivri A. 22. Tintis E. 8. Ugur A. 23. Ulvan T.	80. Aydogmus B. 99. Furat I. 10. Hidayetoglu A. 29. Jair 98. Kafkasyali E. (G) 8. Karaman A. 3. Korkmazoglu E. 6. Laine J. 41. Narin S. 17. Toplu A.
Coaches
Canel A.	Altiparmak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Orak F. ↓, Furat I. ↑,
73', Oscar Pinchi ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
73', Fernandes J. ↓, Hidayetoglu A. ↑,
75', Gurpuz G. ↓, Paoletti F. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Wesley ⚽,
89', Albayrak M. ↓, Aydogmus B. ↑,
89', Jack R. ↓, Toplu A. ↑,
90+4', Toplu A. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Karagümrük is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Erokspor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Karagümrük is a favorite.

There will not play in Karagümrük: Djilobodji P. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Erokspor: Ceylan O. (Red Card)

Our prediction for today's Karagümrük to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Including matches at home between the teams Karagümrük won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish First League
24.11.24	Erzurumspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:3 ✺
09.11.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Yeni Malatyaspor	6:1 ✺
02.11.24	Kocaelispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
29.10.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor	1:0 ✺
Turkish First League
25.10.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Adanaspor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW
- Erokspor
Turkish First League
24.11.24	Erokspor - Çorum	2:2 ✺
08.11.24	Ankaragücü - Erokspor	3:0 ✺
02.11.24	Erokspor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:1 ✺
28.10.24	Manisa FK - Erokspor	0:1 ✺
21.10.24	Erokspor - Keçiörengücü	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
24.11.20	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erokspor	0:3

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