Match Info

Super Lig - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: Atatürk Olimpiyat (Istanbul)

Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Serbia	SportKlub 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2


	Fatih Karagümrükspor		Göztepe

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.75	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2.25
	3.57	3.33	2.07
	4.71	3.55	1.84
	4.54	3.41	1.82	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.3
	3.48	3.43	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.18)	3.43 ↑ (3.43)	2.02 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatih Karagümrükspor
25.4%

Draw
27.7%

Göztepe
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

27.4%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Göztepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	18.2%	68.2%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Göztepe Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Göztepe will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Göztepe: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Karagümrük (2.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Karagümrük (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Göztepe will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Göztepe (votes: 8 - 72.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Grbic I. (G) 6. Cankaya A. R. (C) 22. Kurucuk F. 29. Balkovec J. 33. Kurukalip C. 34. Demirol A. 17. Sivri A. 11. Johnson D. 72. Kalayci B. 91. Gray A. 21. Cukur T.	1. Lis M. (G) 23. Bayir F. 5. Heliton 26. Bokele M. 2. Kurtulan A. 6. Rhaldney 30. Dennis A. 15. Cherni A. 10. Olaitan J. 19. Emersonn 39. Janderson
Substitutes
99. Beklevic F. (G) 94. Cinar A. 88. Gumus O. 20. Kalpakli T. 70. Serginho 27. Ugrekhelidze N. 96. Yandal K. (G)	4. Altikardes T. 11. Bekiroglu E. 8. Ildiz A. 17. Kilicarslan E. (G) 20. Miroshi N. 13. Ruan Teixeira 7. Sabra I. 45. Yildirim E. 22. Yildiz U.
Coaches
Licka M.	Stoilov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Kurucuk F. 🟨,
31', Dennis A. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Olaitan J. ⚽, Janderson (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kurukalip C. ↓, Gumus O. ↑,
50', Balkovec J. 🟨,
62', Demirol A. ↓, Serginho ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Janderson ⚽, Cherni A. (A),
69', Olaitan J. ↓, Miroshi N. ↑,
75', Sivri A. ↓, Kalpakli T. ↑,
76', Janderson ↓, Sabra I. ↑,
76', Dennis A. ↓, Bekiroglu E. ↑,
85', Sabra I. 🟨,
87', Emersonn ↓, Altikardes T. ↑,
88', Rhaldney ↓, Ildiz A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 2.

Göztepe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Karagümrük may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Göztepe will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Karagümrük: Doh M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Göztepe: Bayrak O. (Shoulder Injury) Juan Santos (Red Card) Koybasi I. (Red Card)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Fatih Karagümrükspor - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 29.51%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Super League
15.08.25	Galatasaray - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish First League
29.05.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Bandırmaspor	3:1 ET ✺
10.05.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Igdirspor	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Pendikspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWLW
- Göztepe
Turkish Super League
16.08.25	Göztepe - Fenerbahçe	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Göztepe	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Göztepe - Vukovar 91	2:2 ✺
16.07.25	Kryvbas - Göztepe	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	Rijeka - Göztepe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
07.05.22	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Göztepe	3:1
19.12.21	Göztepe - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1
20.04.21	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Göztepe	1:1
26.12.20	Göztepe - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1
Turkish Cup
18.12.19	Göztepe - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1
03.12.19	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Göztepe	1:2
27.10.16	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Göztepe	0:3

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