The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fatih Karagümrükspor 19.7%
Draw 27.1%
Trabzonspor 53.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.8%
25.4%
49.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.8%
25.5%
49.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fatih Karagümrükspor's form might have worsened.
Trabzonspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fatih Karagümrükspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
13.6%
86.4%
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Trabzonspor Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Trabzonspor (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.5 - Trabzonspor (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DNB - Trabzonspor (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Trabzonspor will win
(19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Trabzonspor will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Trabzonspor (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Grbic I. (G) 47. Esgaio R. 6. Cankaya A. R. (C) 27. Ugrekhelidze N. 29. Balkovec J. 11. Johnson D. 14. Doh M. 21. Cukur T. 23. Larsson S. 37. Camacho J. 91. Gray A.
24. Onana A. (G) 20. Pina W. 15. Savic S. (C) 44. Batagov A. 77. Bosluk A. 42. Inao Oulai C. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 22. Zubkov O. 99. Felipe Augusto 70. Olaigbe K. 30. Onuachu P.
Substitutes
99. Beklevic F. (G) 94. Cinar A. 19. Fofana D. D. 32. Kadioglu M. 72. Kalayci B. 20. Kalpakli T. 33. Kurukalip C. 8. Ozcan B. 70. Serginho 17. Sivri A.
23. Baniya R. 80. Baskan B. 61. Canak C. 25. Cevikkan O. (G) 74. Malkocoglu S. 10. Muci E. 29. Saatci S. 14. Sikan D. 11. Tufan O. 7. Visca E.
Coaches
Licka M.
Tekke F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
19', 0 - 1, Felipe Augusto ⚽, Pina W. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Cukur T. ⚽, Larsson S. (A),
35', 1 - 2, Onuachu P. ⚽, Pina W. (A),
45+3', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
45+8', Balkovec J. 🟨,
45+8', 1 - 3, Onuachu P. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Esgaio R. ↓, Kadioglu M. ↑,
46', Camacho J. ↓, Kalpakli T. ↑,
53', Savic S. 🟨,
64', Olaigbe K. ↓, Sikan D. ↑,
66', Gray A. ↓, Fofana D. D. ↑,
74', Johnson D. 🟨,
80', Doh M. ↓, Ozcan B. ↑,
80', Zubkov O. ↓, Visca E. ↑,
80', Felipe Augusto ↓, Muci E. ↑,
88', Ugrekhelidze N. ↓, Sivri A. ↑,
88', 1 - 4, Sikan D. ⚽, Jabol-Folcarelli T. (A),
90', Pina W. ↓, Baskan B. ↑,
90', Onuachu P. ↓, Malkocoglu S. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 4, Fofana D. D. ⚽, Ozcan B. (A),
90+2', 3 - 4, Fofana D. D. ⚽,
90+4', Kadioglu M. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 0.
Karagümrük is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Trabzonspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Trabzonspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Trabzonspor is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Trabzonspor: Bouchouari B.
(Inactive)
Nwakaeme A.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Karagümrük: Sivri A.
(Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:24. (average 1:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Trabzonspor - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 49.8%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.