Match Info

Super Lig - Round 1

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Hasova G. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2
Austria	Laola1
Bolivia	ESPN 6
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Canada	beIN Connect, fubo Sports Network
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Ecuador	ESPN 6
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Germany	Laola1
Israel	Sport 3
Kosovo	ART Sport 4
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Paraguay	ESPN 6
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 6, Fox Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 6


	Kasımpaşa		Trabzonspor

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.96	Watch
	3.70	3.50	1.93
	3.75	3.46	1.91	Watch
	3.99	3.38	2.08
	3.91	3.61	1.92	Watch
	3.85	3.3	2.03
	4.06	3.51	2	Watch
	3.45	3.3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↓ (4.17)	3.43 ↓ (3.72)	1.97 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kasımpaşa
24.8%

Draw
27.4%

Trabzonspor
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

25.2%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	30%	60%

Kasımpaşa - Trabzonspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Trabzonspor will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trabzonspor: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Trabzonspor (1.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Kasımpaşa (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasımpaşa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Trabzonspor (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Winck C. 4. Arous A. 27. Ilie M. 5. Jessen J. 51. Mendes E. 16. Baldursson A. F. 12. Ben Ouanes M. (C) 34. Diabate F. 50. Yalcin G. 9. Benedyczak A.	24. Onana A. (G) 20. Pina W. 15. Savic S. (C) 27. Nwaiwu C. 19. Eskihellac M. 8. Bouchouari B. 17. Malinovskyi R. 70. Saviolo N. 77. Mimaroglu M. 58. Simsir A. 30. Onuachu P.
Substitutes
23. Alkas S. 66. Boz E. 30. Dagbasi A. T. 11. Diarra T. 10. Hajradinovic H. 45. Karapo A. 7. Kol A. 8. Mujde A. 19. Rafferty M. 25. Yanar A. (G)	4. Akaydin S. 25. Cevikkan O. (G) 57. Kabasakal M. 55. Lopes Cabral S. 49. Mitongo R. 14. Nayir U. 39. Ozkacar C. 10. Salah M. 11. Tufan O. 1. Yildirim A. (G)
Coaches
Belozoglu E.	Tekke F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Baldursson A. F. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Saviolo N. ⚽, Mimaroglu M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Diabate F. ↓, Hajradinovic H. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Benedyczak A. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Mimaroglu M. ↓, Salah M. ↑,
67', Saviolo N. ↓, Lopes Cabral S. ↑,
67', Simsir A. ↓, Kabasakal M. ↑,
68', Ben Ouanes M. 🟨,
78', Ben Ouanes M. ↓, Rafferty M. ↑,
82', Yalcin G. ↓, Karapo A. ↑,
84', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Tufan O. ↑,
90+2', Benedyczak A. ↓, Alkas S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 1.

In this match, Trabzonspor is the team to beat.

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Corekci K. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Trabzonspor: Batagov A. (Knee Injury) Jabol-Folcarelli T. (Knee Injury) Yokuslu O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Trabzonspor: Gurpuz G. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:41. (average 1.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kasımpaşa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.9:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Trabzonspor	7	4	1	2	16:5	11	13
8	Kasimpasa	7	2	4	1	8:8	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kasımpaşa
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Kasımpaşa - Hull City	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Kasımpaşa - İstanbulspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
17.05.26	Kasımpaşa - Galatasaray	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Gençlerbirliği - Kasımpaşa	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	Kasımpaşa - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWWLT
- Trabzonspor
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Trabzonspor - Udinese	1:0 ✺
30.07.26	Trabzonspor - Al-Sadd	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Trabzonspor - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
22.05.26	Trabzonspor - Konyaspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
17.05.26	Trabzonspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
23.01.26	Trabzonspor - Kasımpaşa	2:1
18.08.25	Kasımpaşa - Trabzonspor	0:1
05.05.25	Kasımpaşa - Trabzonspor	1:1
06.12.24	Trabzonspor - Kasımpaşa	2:2
29.01.24	Trabzonspor - Kasımpaşa	2:3
01.09.23	Kasımpaşa - Trabzonspor	1:5
08.04.23	Kasımpaşa - Trabzonspor	2:0

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