The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fatih Karagümrükspor 53.2%
Draw 26.9%
Eyüpspor 19.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
27.3%
26.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.5%
26.9%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fatih Karagümrükspor's performance.
Eyüpspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eyüpspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fatih Karagümrükspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eyüpspor than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eyüpspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.3%
21.7%
0%
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Eyüpspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
Fatih Karagümrükspor will win
(18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%). Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% – 95.12%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Grbic I. (C) 47. Esgaio R. 4. Biraschi D. 3. Lichnovsky I. 25. Mladenovic F. 10. Verde D. 5. Kranevitter M. 6. Elmaz B. 80. Babicka S. 23. Larsson S. 70. Serginho
24. Yilmaz J. (G) 2. Lucas Calegari 4. Luccas Claro 16. Yasar A. 77. Meras U. 26. Altunbas M. 28. Taskin I. (C) 55. Gezek B. A. 15. Raux Yao C. 20. Legowski M. 19. Bozok U.
Substitutes
88. Ahmed T. 99. Beklevic F. (G) 94. Cinar A. 21. Cukur T. 24. Ersoy B. 32. Kadioglu M. 72. Kalayci B. 22. Kurucuk F. 33. Kurukalip C. 8. Ozcan B.
27. Manga I. 1. Marcos Felipe (G) 14. Ndoye D. 68. Onguene J. 5. Ozyurt B. 23. Pintor L. 42. Satli B. K. 25. Sy A. K. 17. Ulvan T. 88. Yavuz A.
Coaches
Stanojevic A.
Gerin A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 1 - 0, Serginho ⚽, Verde D. (A),
33', Babicka S. ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
39', 1 - 1, Kranevitter M. (Own goal),
44', 1 - 2, Legowski M. ⚽, Meras U. (A),
45+1', Taskin I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Verde D. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
61', Elmaz B. ↓, Ozcan B. ↑,
68', Taskin I. ↓, Pintor L. ↑,
78', Yasar A. 🟥,
80', Lucas Calegari ↓, Onguene J. ↑,
80', Altunbas M. ↓, Ulvan T. ↑,
80', Raux Yao C. ↓, Ozyurt B. ↑,
85', Yilmaz J. 🟨,
90+2', Bozok U. ↓, Sy A. K. ↑,
90+2', Pintor L. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
Karagümrük has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Eyüpspor has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Karagümrük is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Karagümrük: Camacho J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Eyüpspor: Akbaba E.
(Broken Leg)
Radu D.
(Red Card)
Rotariu D.
(Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.