Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 2

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Fatima		Elvas

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.3
	3.7	3	2.01
	3.89	3.03	2
	3.76	3.02	1.99
	3.7	3	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (2.92)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	2.06 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatima
25.5%

Draw
30.3%

Elvas
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

31.5%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

31.4%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fatima's form might have worsened.

Elvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elvas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fatima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elvas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fatima - Elvas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, ⚽,
42', 🟥,
45+3', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Fatima has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Elvas is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Fatima has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fatima won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Fatima won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Fatima
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
27.04.25	Lusitano GC - Fatima	3:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
13.04.25	Mortágua - Fatima	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Fatima - Arronches Benfica	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Elvas - Fatima	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Pombal - Fatima	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLW
- O Elvas CAD
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
27.04.25	Elvas - Amora	0:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
13.04.25	Arronches Benfica - Elvas	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Elvas - Pombal	4:0 ✺
29.03.25	Elvas - Fatima	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Pero Pinheiro - Elvas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
29.03.25	Elvas - Fatima	1:0
08.12.24	Fatima - Elvas	0:0

Fatima - Elvas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide