Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 25

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Fatima		Arronches Benfica

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.25	3.7
	2.23	2.8	3.4
	2.22	2.98	3.4
	2.23	2.8	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.85)	2.96 ↓ (3.28)	3.48 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatima
42.9%

Draw
30.9%

Arronches Benfica
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

27.7%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27.3%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fatima's form might have worsened.

Arronches Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fatima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arronches Benfica than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Fatima - Arronches Benfica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Fatima is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fatima won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Fatima
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
29.03.25	Elvas - Fatima	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Pombal - Fatima	0:3 ✺
09.03.25	Fatima - Pero Pinheiro	4:0 ✺
02.03.25	Alverca B - Fatima	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Fatima - Sertanense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWT
- Arronches Benfica
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
29.03.25	Arronches Benfica - Pero Pinheiro	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Alverca B - Arronches Benfica	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Arronches Benfica - Sertanense	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	União de Coimbra - Arronches Benfica	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Arronches Benfica - Marinhense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.12.24	Arronches Benfica - Fatima	1:0

Fatima - Arronches Benfica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide