Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 1

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Lusitano GC		Fatima

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.3	4.2
	1.75	3.5	4.1
	1.62	3.46	5.5
	1.77	3.36	4.23
	1.76	3.45	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.76)	3.41 ↓ (3.45)	4.45 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano GC
52.8%

Draw
26.7%

Fatima
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.4%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25.6%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Fatima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Lusitano GC - Fatima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Lopes M. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Davou S. ⚽,
37', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 3 - 0, Davou S. ⚽,

Preview

Lusitano GC is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fatima is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Lusitano GC is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lusitano GC to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
13.04.25	Lusitano GC - Estrela da Amadora B	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Sintrense - Lusitano GC	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Lusitano GC - Louletano	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Comércio e Indústria - Lusitano GC	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Lusitano GC - Moncarapachense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWW
- CD Fatima
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
13.04.25	Mortágua - Fatima	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Fatima - Arronches Benfica	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Elvas - Fatima	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Pombal - Fatima	0:3 ✺
09.03.25	Fatima - Pero Pinheiro	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWW

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