Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 15

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Papa Francisco (Fatima)


	Fatima		SC Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.95
	1.9	3.16	3.99	Watch
	1.73	3	4.6
	1.91	3.05	3.99
	1.88	3.14	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2)	3.07 ↓ (3.18)	4.07 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatima
48.4%

Draw
29.4%

SC Lusitânia
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28.3%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

27.6%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Fatima - SC Lusitânia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Fatima have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SC Lusitânia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, SC Lusitânia has had a series of home games.

Fatima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fatima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Fatima	4	1	1	2	6:5	1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Fatima
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
10.01.26	União da Serra - Fatima	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	SB Castelo Branco - Fatima	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Fatima - Eléctrico	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Vitória de Sernache - Fatima	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Fatima - Os Marialvas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLTTW
- SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
10.01.26	SC Lusitânia - Samora Correia	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	SC Lusitânia - Peniche	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	SC Lusitânia - Marinhense	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	SC Lusitânia - Lajense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
16.11.25	SC Lusitânia - Fatima	2:1

Fatima - SC Lusitânia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide