Match Info

Date: 5 March 2021, Friday


	Felgueiras		Tirsense

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.3	5.5
	1.65	3.1	5.1
	1.72	3.25	4.5
	1.78	3.34	5.34
	1.73	3.4	4.2
	1.74	3.58	4.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.6)	3.33 ↓ (3.66)	4.8 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
53.5%

Draw
27.4%

Tirsense
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.9%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

15.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felgueiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Tirsense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felgueiras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tirsense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Felgueiras is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Felgueiras won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.02.21	Pevidem - Felgueiras	0:0 ✺
19.02.21	Felgueiras - São Martinho	1:1 ✺
31.01.21	Brito - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
16.01.21	Felgueiras - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0 ✺
11.01.21	Felgueiras - Rio Ave B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTTWT
- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.02.21	Tirsense - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:2 ✺
21.02.21	Rio Ave B - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
14.02.21	Tirsense - Berço	1:2 ✺
07.02.21	Fafe - Tirsense	0:2 ✺
31.01.21	Tirsense - Mondinense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.12.20	Tirsense - Felgueiras	1:1
Taça de Portugal
06.09.15	Tirsense - Felgueiras	1:0 penalties

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