Match Info

Date: 6 February 2022, Sunday


	Pevidem		Felgueiras

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	1.9	Watch
	4.75	3.2	1.72
	3.85	3.3	1.83
	3.84	3.49	1.93
	4.3	3.28	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (3.94)	3.31 ↓ (3.43)	1.84 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pevidem
22.6%

Draw
27.6%

Felgueiras
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

27.1%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

21.2%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pevidem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pevidem than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felgueiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pevidem - Felgueiras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group)).

Pevidem is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

Pevidem is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Felgueiras is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pevidem could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Felgueiras is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pevidem won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Pevidem won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Pevidem
Portuguese Liga 3
30.01.22	Canelas - Pevidem	1:0 ✺
22.01.22	Pevidem - Fafe	1:2 ✺
16.01.22	São João de Ver - Pevidem	0:0 ✺
18.12.21	Sanjoanense - Pevidem	2:0 ✺
12.12.21	Pevidem - Montalegre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLTLT
- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 3
02.02.22	Felgueiras - São João de Ver	0:0 ✺
29.01.22	Braga B - Felgueiras	3:1 ✺
22.01.22	Felgueiras - Canelas	2:1 ✺
18.12.21	Anadia - Felgueiras	0:1 ✺
12.12.21	Felgueiras - Sanjoanense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
30.10.21	Felgueiras - Pevidem	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.02.21	Pevidem - Felgueiras	0:0

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