Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 11

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday


	Felgueiras		Vitoria Guimarães B

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	4.8
	1.48	3.9	5.7
	1.58	3.75	4.8
	1.62	3.96	5.59
	1.57	3.5	5.25
	1.57	3.76	5.1	Watch
	1.6	3.85	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.59)	3.78 ↑ (3.4)	5.16 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
58.2%

Draw
24.1%

Vitoria Guimarães B
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

26.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

25%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Vitoria Guimarães B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Felgueiras - Vitoria Guimarães B Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Felgueiras will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Guimarães B will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Felgueiras: 35.9% – 97.5%.

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group) and 12 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Felgueiras won 3.

Felgueiras is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guimarães B has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Guimarães B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Felgueiras is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Felgueiras to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Felgueiras won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Felgueiras won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 3
25.11.22	Anadia - Felgueiras	1:2 ✺
13.11.22	Felgueiras - Fafe	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Braga B - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Felgueiras - Paredes	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Canelas - Felgueiras	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTWT
- Vitoria Guimarães B
Portuguese Liga 3
27.11.22	Vitoria Guimarães B - Vilaverdense	1:2 ✺
12.11.22	Vitoria Guimarães B - Anadia	0:2 ✺
04.11.22	Varzim - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:0 ✺
30.10.22	Vitoria Guimarães B - Fafe	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	São João de Ver - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.08.22	Felgueiras - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:1
Portuguese Liga 3
15.04.22	Vitoria Guimarães B - Felgueiras	1:1
20.03.22	Felgueiras - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:2
26.02.22	Felgueiras - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0
05.12.21	Vitoria Guimarães B - Felgueiras	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.01.21	Felgueiras - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0
19.09.20	Vitoria Guimarães B - Felgueiras	1:1

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