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Current Win Probability
Fenerbahçe 70.9%
Draw 18.3%
Yeni Malatyaspor 10.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.2%
19.4%
10.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
79.2%
17.2%
9.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Yeni Malatyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeni Malatyaspor than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.1%
8.9%
20%
Fenerbahçe - Yeni Malatyaspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 32 - 71.1%). Yeni Malatyaspor will win (votes: 9 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 57.9% – 84.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
Fenerbahçe has the most likely position - 3 (17.31%), has project points - 65, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (20%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Yeni Malatyaspor has the most likely position - 20 (30.01%), has project points - 34, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (77%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Fenerbahçe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Fenerbahçe is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Fenerbahçe won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Fenerbahçe won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.