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Current Win Probability
Fenerbahçe 59.8%
Draw 23.6%
Dynamo Kyiv 16.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55%
24.4%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.4%
23.8%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.5%
4.3%
5.2%
Fenerbahçe - Dynamo Kyiv Predictions
Users Predictions:
Fenerbahçe will win
(294 of 325 users predict this - 90.46%). Confidence interval (95%): 87.27% – 93.65%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Fenerbahçe has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (30%), has a chance of 2nd (35%), has a chance of 3rd (24%), has a chance of round of 16 (43%), has a chance of qtrs (17%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Dynamo has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (13%), has a chance of 2nd (25%), has a chance of 3rd (36%), has a chance of round of 16 (19%), has a small chance of qtrs (6%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality60, very big importance92, big match rating76. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Fenerbahçe is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Dynamo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Dynamo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Fenerbahçe is a favorite.
There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Bruma
(Injury)
Dursun S.
(Injury)
Lemos M.
(Injury)
Sangare N.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Dynamo: Popov D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Supryaga V.
(Hip Injury)
There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Aziz S.
(Groin Injury)
Our prediction for today's Fenerbahçe to win the game is with odds 1.59.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Fenerbahçe won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Fenerbahçe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.