Match Info

Date: 17 August 2022, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Miejski al. Unii Lubelskiej 2 (Lodz)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	BTV Action
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	CANAL+ Sport
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Dynamo Kyiv		Benfica

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.61
	5.5	3.9	1.61
	5.8	4.05	1.61
	5.4	4	1.61
	5.75	4.09	1.62
	5.8	3.8	1.6
	6.2	4.2	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.67 ↑ (3.88)	4.01 ↑ (3.3)	1.62 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDN

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Kyiv
16.9%

Draw
23.9%

Benfica
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

29%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

32.1%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dynamo Kyiv's form might have worsened.

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benfica's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Kyiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.6%	5.6%	87.8%

Dynamo Kyiv - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (253 of 288 users predict this - 87.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.08% – 91.62%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Dynamo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Benfica is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Dynamo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Benfica is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dynamo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dynamo Kyiv
UEFA Champions League
09.08.22	Sturm Graz - Dynamo Kyiv	1:2 ET ✺
03.08.22	Dynamo Kyiv - Sturm Graz	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.22	Everton - Dynamo Kyiv	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.07.22	Fenerbahçe - Dynamo Kyiv	1:2 ET ✺
20.07.22	Dynamo Kyiv - Fenerbahçe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WWLWT
- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
13.08.22	Casa Pia - Benfica	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.08.22	Midtjylland - Benfica	1:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
05.08.22	Benfica - Arouca	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.08.22	Benfica - Midtjylland	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.22	Benfica - Newcastle United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
08.12.21	Benfica - Dynamo Kyiv	2:0
14.09.21	Dynamo Kyiv - Benfica	0:0
01.11.16	Benfica - Dynamo Kyiv	1:0
19.10.16	Dynamo Kyiv - Benfica	0:2

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