Match Info

Date: 23 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	CMore
France	CANAL+ Sport
Hungary	Sport 2
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Benfica		Dynamo Kyiv

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	7.5
	1.3	5.5	10
	1.3	5.5	10.5
	1.31	5.6	9.2
	1.32	5.5	9.94
	1.3	5.25	10
	1.28	5.6	9.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.38)	5.49 ↑ (5.1)	9.58 ↑ (8.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TUDN

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
72.8%

Draw
17.3%

Dynamo Kyiv
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

19%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

18%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.6%	4.9%	7.6%

Benfica - Dynamo Kyiv Predictions

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (162 of 185 users predict this - 87.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.82% – 92.32%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

2nd leg.

Benfica in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Dynamo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dynamo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Benfica is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Benfica to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Benfica won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
UEFA Champions League
17.08.22	Dynamo Kyiv - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
13.08.22	Casa Pia - Benfica	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.08.22	Midtjylland - Benfica	1:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
05.08.22	Benfica - Arouca	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.08.22	Benfica - Midtjylland	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW
- FC Dynamo Kyiv
UEFA Champions League
17.08.22	Dynamo Kyiv - Benfica	0:2 ✺
09.08.22	Sturm Graz - Dynamo Kyiv	1:2 ET ✺
03.08.22	Dynamo Kyiv - Sturm Graz	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.22	Everton - Dynamo Kyiv	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.07.22	Fenerbahçe - Dynamo Kyiv	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
17.08.22	Dynamo Kyiv - Benfica	0:2
08.12.21	Benfica - Dynamo Kyiv	2:0
14.09.21	Dynamo Kyiv - Benfica	0:0
01.11.16	Benfica - Dynamo Kyiv	1:0
19.10.16	Dynamo Kyiv - Benfica	0:2

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