Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu (Istanbul) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Greece	21:00	TV 100
Poland	20:00	Polsat Box Go, Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Usa	14:00	SportsEngine Play


	Fenerbahçe		Górnik Zabrze

	1	X	2
	1.2	7.5	11	Watch
	1.17	8.25	14.50
	1.17	6.4	16.5
	1.19	7	18.87
	1.15	8.3	16.14
	1.18	5.75	18
	1.2	7.53	11.6	Watch
	1.19	7	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.27)	7.22 ↑ (5.4)	14.95 ↑ (12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
80.5%

Draw
13.2%

Górnik Zabrze
6.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

74.6%

17.5%

7.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fenerbahçe's performance.

Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.8%	6.8%	3.4%

Fenerbahçe - Górnik Zabrze Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (53 of 59 users predict this - 89.83%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.12% – 97.54%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fenerbahçe will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Gunok M. (G) 27. Semedo N. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 15. Ake N. 24. Oosterwolde J. 6. Guendouzi M. 17. Kahveci I. 7. Fred 28. Elmaz B. 9. Akturkoglu K. 94. Talisca	1. Schulze P. (G) 61. Sacek M. 26. Janicki R. 20. Josema 64. Janza E. (C) 18. Sadilek L. 66. Dietz M. 82. Urbanski K. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 11. Prekop E. 33. Khlan M.
Substitutes
10. Asensio M. 70. Aydin O. 3. Brown A. 13. Cetin T. (G) 26. Cherif S. 31. Ederson (G) 11. Greenwood M. 22. Mercan L. 18. Muldur M. 20. Musaba A. 4. Soyuncu C. 5. Yuksek I.	4. Bochniewicz P. 28. Donio B. 34. Durdov B. 29. Kania W. (G) 23. Liseth S. 19. Peter Federico 2. Warczak P. 21. Zmrzly O.
Coaches
Kartal I.	Gasparik M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Talisca ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ake N. ↓, Mercan L. ↑,
70', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
70', Elmaz B. ↓, Asensio M. ↑,
73', Urbanski K. ↓, Liseth S. ↑,
73', Ikia Dimi Y. ↓, Zmrzly O. ↑,
76', Dietz M. ↓, Donio B. ↑,
83', Kahveci I. ↓, Greenwood M. ↑,
87', Talisca ↓, Cherif S. ↑,
90+2', Khlan M. ↓, Warczak P. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Górnik Zabrze's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fenerbahçe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Górnik Zabrze has had a series of away games.

In this match, Fenerbahçe is the clear favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
31	Fenerbahce	3	0	2	1	3:9	-6	2

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Fenerbahce: 0.47%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
Club Friendly
14.07.26	LASK Linz - Fenerbahçe	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Fenerbahçe - Pogoń Szczecin	4:0 ✺
08.07.26	Admira - Fenerbahçe	0:5 ✺
Turkish Super League
17.05.26	Fenerbahçe - Eyüpspor	3:3 ✺
09.05.26	Konyaspor - Fenerbahçe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWTW
- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Super Cup
16.07.26	Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Nordsjælland - Górnik Zabrze	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Swarovski Tirol - Górnik Zabrze	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Górnik Zabrze	2:1 ✺
28.06.26	Hallescher - Górnik Zabrze	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTLW

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