Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Ulker Stadium Şükrü Saracoğlu (Istanbul)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Belgium	Play6, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2, RTBF Tipik
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 3
China	QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	Qazsport, Q Sport Arena
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Mexico	ESPN
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Sporza, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	TRT 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, Premier Sports 2 ROI, TNT Sports 3
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app


	Fenerbahçe		Saint-Gilloise

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5.5
	1.63	3.9	5.25
	1.65	4	5.5
	1.63	4.01	5.75
	1.63	4.04	5.32	Watch
	1.62	3.8	5.8
	1.67	4.04	5.9
	1.65	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.7)	3.97 ↑ (3.97)	5.57 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
58.6%

Draw
24.1%

Saint-Gilloise
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24.1%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

22.9%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	6.5%	7.8%

Fenerbahçe - Saint Gilloise Predictions

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (65 of 76 users predict this - 85.53%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.62% – 93.44%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Livakovic D. (G) 16. Muldur M. 50. Rodrigo Becao 4. Soyuncu C. 24. Oosterwolde J. 53. Szymanski S. 13. Fred 34. Amrabat S. 17. Kahveci I. C. (C) 19. En Nesyri Y. 20. Under C.	49. Moris A. (C) 21. Castro-Montes A. 16. Burgess C. 5. Mac Allister K. 28. Machida K. 27. Sadiki N. 24. Vanhoutte C. 4. Rasmussen M. 9. Ivanovic F. 13. Rodriguez K. 22. Niang O.
Substitutes
3. Akaydin S. 95. Akcicek Y. 84. Camci O. (G) 54. Cetin E. (G) 6. Djiku A. 9. Dzeko E. 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 97. Saint-Maximin A. 10. Tadic D. 23. Tosun C. 8. Yandas M. 5. Yuksek I.	10. Ait El Hadj A. 33. Berradi S. 23. Boufal S. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 14. Imbrechts J. (G) 25. Khalaili A. 48. Leysen F. 26. Sykes R. 6. Van De Perre K.
Coaches
Mourinho J.	Pocognoli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Soyuncu C. ⚽, Rodrigo Becao (A),
33', Rodrigo Becao 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Muldur M. 🟨,
61', Rodriguez K. ↓, Khalaili A. ↑,
65', Muldur M. ↓, Osayi-Samuel B. ↑,
65', Kahveci I. C. ↓, Tadic D. ↑,
70', Rasmussen M. ↓, Boufal S. ↑,
74', Mac Allister K. 🟥,
77', Under C. ↓, Yandas M. ↑,
77', En Nesyri Y. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
80', Boufal S. 🟨,
82', 2 - 0, Burgess C. (Own goal), Osayi-Samuel B. (A),
86', Burgess C. ↓, Sykes R. ↑,
86', Sadiki N. ↓, Van De Perre K. ↑,
86', Fred ↓, Tosun C. ↑,
87', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
90', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
90+2', Ivanovic F. (Pen),
90+3', 2 - 1, Sykes R. ⚽, Ivanovic F. (A),
90+6', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,

Preview

Fenerbahçe is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Union SG is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Fenerbahçe is a favorite.

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Kent R. (Coach's decision)

There will not play in Union SG: Kabangu E. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Union SG: Teklab H. (Foot Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fenerbahçe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Fenerbahçe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
21.09.24	Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray	1:3 ✺
15.09.24	Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
30.08.24	Fenerbahçe - Alanyaspor	3:0 ✺
25.08.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Fenerbahçe	0:5 ✺
17.08.24	Göztepe - Fenerbahçe	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWWT
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
20.09.24	Standard Liège - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Royal Antwerp - Saint-Gilloise	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
16.08.24	Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
14.03.24	Fenerbahçe - Saint-Gilloise	0:1
07.03.24	Saint-Gilloise - Fenerbahçe	0:3

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