Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 5

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Leonardo Garilli (Piacenza)

Referee: Camplone G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	FeralpiSalò		Modena

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2.3	Watch
	3.3	3	2.3	Watch
	3.65	3.02	2.37
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.34	3.02	2.34	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.32)	3.04 ↓ (3.26)	2.29 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FeralpiSalò
27.9%

Draw
30.9%

Modena
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

28.7%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

27.9%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FeralpiSalò has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FeralpiSalò than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	10.5%	84.2%

FeralpiSalò - Modena Predictions

Users Predictions: Modena will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 94. Letizia G. 19. Pilati A. 6. Bacchetti L. 87. Martella B. 20. Zennaro M. 16. Fiordilino L. 8. Balestrero D. 97. Felici M. 91. La Mantia A. 70. Parigini V.	26. Gagno R. (G) 99. Oukhadda S. 19. Zaro G. 4. Pergreffi A. 29. Cotali M. 6. Magnino L. 10. Tremolada L. 16. Gerli F. 5. Palumbo A. 17. Manconi J. 11. Falcinelli D.
Substitutes
66. Bergonzi F. 9. Butic K. 23. Ceppitelli L. 14. Compagnon M. 10. Di Molfetta D. 27. Hergheligiu D. 39. Kourfalidis C. 34. Minelli S. (G) 99. Pietrelli A. 25. Sau M. 3. Tonetto M. 61. Volpe G. (G)	90. Abiuso F. 23. Battistella T. 9. Bonfanti N. 33. Cauz C. 7. Duca E. 20. Gargiulo M. 21. Giovannini R. 8. Guiebre A. 3. Ponsi F. 27. Riccio A. 12. Seculin A. (G) 32. Strizzolo L.
Coaches
Vecchi S.	Bianco P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches FeralpiSalò won 1.

FeralpiSalò is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Modena is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Modena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently FeralpiSalò have a series of guest games.

Modena will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches FeralpiSalò won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams FeralpiSalò won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FeralpiSalò
Club Friendly
09.09.23	Sassuolo - FeralpiSalò	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
02.09.23	Palermo - FeralpiSalò	3:0 ✺
29.08.23	Ascoli - FeralpiSalò	3:0 ✺
26.08.23	FeralpiSalò - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:2 ✺
20.08.23	Parma - FeralpiSalò	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLLLL
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
02.09.23	Modena - Pisa	2:0 ✺
29.08.23	Nuova Cosenza - Modena	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Modena - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
11.08.23	Genoa - Modena	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.23	Torino - Modena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
18.02.21	FeralpiSalò - Modena	0:1
21.10.20	Modena - FeralpiSalò	0:0
02.02.20	FeralpiSalò - Modena	2:1
21.09.19	Modena - FeralpiSalò	1:1
29.12.16	Modena - FeralpiSalò	4:1
03.09.16	FeralpiSalò - Modena	1:0

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