Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 18

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena)

Referee: Santoro A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Modena		Pisa

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.88	3.3	Watch
	2.4	2.8	3.3
	2.5	2.85	3.1	Watch
	2.54	2.85	3.49
	2.62	2.74	3.3	Watch
	2.45	2.9	3.1
	2.53	2.77	3.39	Watch
	2.5	2.85	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.5)	2.83 ↓ (3.05)	3.26 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
37.8%

Draw
33.3%

Pisa
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

30.9%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

31.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	72.7%	9.1%

Modena - Pisa Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Pisa will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Gagno R. (G) 25. Dellavalle A. 19. Zaro G. 33. Cauz C. 6. Magnino L. 16. Gerli F. (C) 8. Santoro S. 29. Cotali M. 10. Palumbo A. 20. Caso G. 11. Mendes P.	47. Semper A. (G) 17. Rus A. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 94. Bonfanti G. 15. Toure I. 36. Piccinini G. 6. Marin M. 3. Angori S. 32. Moreo S. 11. Tramoni M. 9. Bonfanti N.
Substitutes
90. Abiuso F. 78. Bagheria F. (G) 5. Battistella T. 2. Beyuku G. 21. Bozhanaj K. 23. Caldara M. 18. Di Pardo A. 7. Duca E. 9. Gliozzi E. 27. Idrissi R. 24. Oliva M. 1. Sassi J. (G)	28. Abildgaard O. 30. Arena A. 20. Beruatto P. 33. Calabresi A. 5. Canestrelli S. 25. Ferrari T. 8. Hojholt M. 74. Jevsenak Z. 45. Lind A. 22. Loria L. (G) 1. Nicolas Andrade (G) 10. Vignato E.
Coaches
Mandelli P.	Inzaghi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Angori S. 🟨,
38', Rus A. 🟨,
41', Caracciolo Ant. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rus A. ↓, Beruatto P. ↑,
46', Angori S. ↓, Canestrelli S. ↑,
56', Bonfanti N. ↓, Lind A. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Caso G. ⚽, Gerli F. (A),
71', Bonfanti G. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
75', Toure I. 🟨,
75', Caso G. ↓, Battistella T. ↑,
75', Cotali M. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
76', Mendes P. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
83', Piccinini G. ↓, Vignato E. ↑,
84', Gerli F. ↓, Di Pardo A. ↑,
90+1', Dellavalle A. ↓, Caldara M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Modena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Modena: Pergreffi A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Pisa: Leris M. (Injury) Mlakar J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Pisa: Esteves T. (Tendon Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Modena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
14.12.24	Reggiana - Modena	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	Modena - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Mantova - Modena	0:0 ✺
22.11.24	Nuova Cosenza - Modena	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Modena - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTTTW
- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
13.12.24	Pisa - Bari	2:0 ✺
07.12.24	Mantova - Pisa	2:3 ✺
01.12.24	Pisa - Nuova Cosenza	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	Carrarese - Pisa	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Pisa - Sampdoria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
28.02.24	Pisa - Modena	2:2
02.09.23	Modena - Pisa	2:0
11.03.23	Modena - Pisa	1:0
23.10.22	Pisa - Modena	4:2

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