Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 14

Date: 22 November 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Nuova Cosenza		Modena

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.9	2.7	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.65
	2.8	2.9	2.7	Watch
	2.98	2.95	2.83
	2.91	2.9	2.76	Watch
	2.5	3	2.88
	2.82	3.14	2.62	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.53)	2.95 ↓ (3.03)	2.73 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
33.5%

Draw
32%

Modena
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

31.1%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

31.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	83.3%	0%

Nuova Cosenza - Modena Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 82.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (C) 4. Martino P. 15. Dalle Mura C. 17. Caporale A. 16. Ricciardi M. 28. Kouan C. 6. Charlys 31. Ricci G. 34. Florenzi A. 32. Strizzolo L. 30. Mazzocchi S.	26. Gagno R. (G) 25. Dellavalle A. 23. Caldara M. 33. Cauz C. 18. Di Pardo A. 16. Gerli F. 8. Santoro S. 29. Cotali M. 10. Palumbo A. (C) 92. Defrel G. 20. Caso G.
Substitutes
5. Camporese M. 19. Ciervo R. 2. Cimino B. 11. D'Orazio T. 10. Fumagalli T. 55. Hristov A. 39. Kourfalidis C. 24. Mauri J. 20. Rizzo Pinna A. 9. Sankoh M. 29. Sgarbi F. 22. Vettorel T. (G)	90. Abiuso F. 5. Battistella T. 2. Beyuku G. 21. Bozhanaj K. 7. Duca E. 9. Gliozzi E. 27. Idrissi R. 6. Magnino L. 11. Mendes P. 3. Ponsi F. 1. Sassi J. (G) 19. Zaro G.
Coaches
Alvini M.	Mandelli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Cotali M. ⚽, Defrel G. (A),
25', Florenzi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ricci G. ↓, Ciervo R. ↑,
46', Strizzolo L. ↓, Rizzo Pinna A. ↑,
59', Defrel G. 🟥,
61', Micai A. 🟨,
63', Caso G. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
64', Charlys ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
66', Santoro S. 🟨,
74', Di Pardo A. ↓, Zaro G. ↑,
74', Palumbo A. ↓, Magnino L. ↑,
74', Cotali M. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
77', Ricciardi M. ↓, Sankoh M. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Mazzocchi S. ⚽, Rizzo Pinna A. (A),
85', Gerli F. ↓, Battistella T. ↑,
90+3', Battistella T. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 14).

Cosenza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Modena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Modena: Pergreffi A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cosenza: Gyamfi B. (Injury) Novello J. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Modena: Mendes P. (Knee Injury) Ponsi F. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
09.11.24	Brescia - Nuova Cosenza	2:3 ✺
03.11.24	Nuova Cosenza - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
29.10.24	Reggiana - Nuova Cosenza	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Nuova Cosenza - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWTT
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
09.11.24	Modena - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Spezia - Modena	1:0 ✺
29.10.24	Modena - Cremonese	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	Sassuolo - Modena	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Modena - Palermo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.02.24	Modena - Nuova Cosenza	1:1
29.08.23	Nuova Cosenza - Modena	1:2
21.01.23	Modena - Nuova Cosenza	2:0
21.08.22	Nuova Cosenza - Modena	2:1

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