What is the expert prediction for Ferencvárosi vs Malmö?

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Ferencvárosi vs Malmö Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, November 28, 2024)

Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Groupama Arena (Budapest)

Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 10, Canal+ Live 8
Hungary	M4 Sport
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 13, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	Ferencvárosi		Malmö

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.5
	1.85	3.7	4
	1.85	3.75	4.2
	1.86	3.75	4.33
	1.82	3.72	4.3	Watch
	1.85	3.7	4
	1.91	3.92	4.25
	1.88	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.9)	3.72 ↑ (3.15)	4.22 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencvárosi
51.6%

Draw
25.7%

Malmö
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.6%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

26.6%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Ferencvárosi will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Dibusz D. (C) 25. Makreckis C. 27. Cisse I. 3. Gartenmann S. 99. Ramirez C. 15. Abu Fani M. 80. Maiga H. 11. Saldanha 10. Kady Borges 20. Traore A. 19. Varga B.	1. Ricardo Friedrich (G) 17. Stryger Larsen J. 19. Rosler C. 35. Zatterstrom N. 25. Busanello 8. Pena S. 23. Johnsen L. B. 7. Rosengren O. 10. Christiansen A. (C) 38. Bolin H. 20. Botheim E.
Substitutes
7. Ben Romdhane M. A. 21. Botka E. 30. Gruber Z. 54. Kajan N. 93. Misidjan V. 65. Ori L. (G) 8. Pesic A. 88. Rommens P. 22. Szalai G. 64. Toth A. 1. Varga A. (G) 16. Zachariassen K.	16. Berg O. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 14. Jorgensen S. 9. Kiese Thelin I. 6. Lewicki O. 34. Loukili Z. 33. Makolli E. 39. Nieroth W. (G) 13. Olsson M. 30. Persson J. (G) 5. Rieks S. 37. Skogmar A.
Coaches
Jansen P.	Rydstrom H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Varga B. (Pen),
11', 2 - 0, Varga B. ⚽, Kady Borges (A),
15', Stryger Larsen J. 🟨,
18', 2 - 1, Botheim E. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 3 - 1, Kady Borges ⚽,
62', Saldanha ↓, Zachariassen K. ↑,
66', Pena S. ↓, Kiese Thelin I. ↑,
68', Varga B. 🟨,
74', Kady Borges ↓, Ben Romdhane M. A. ↑,
74', 4 - 1, Cisse I. ⚽, Abu Fani M. (A),
83', Botheim E. ↓, Berg O. ↑,
83', Stryger Larsen J. ↓, Skogmar A. ↑,
83', Christiansen A. ↓, Loukili Z. ↑,
86', Abu Fani M. ↓, Rommens P. ↑,
86', Cisse I. ↓, Szalai G. ↑,
86', Varga B. ↓, Pesic A. ↑,
87', Bolin H. ↓, Gudjohnsen D. T. ↑,
90', Kiese Thelin I. 🟨,

Preview

Ferencvárosi is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Malmö is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferencvárosi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ferencvárosi is a favorite.

There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Raul Gustavo (Broken collarbone)

There will not play in Malmö: Dahlin J. (Injury) Haksabanovic S. (Groin Injury) Holmquist Vecchia S. (Back Injury) Moisander N. (Knee Injury) Stryger Larsen J. (Knee Injury) Tinnerholm A. (Groin Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
24.11.24	Ferencvárosi - Diósgyőri	3:3 ✺
10.11.24	Kecskemeti - Ferencvárosi	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Ferencvárosi	0:4 ✺
Hungarian NB I
03.11.24	Ferencvárosi - Debreceni	2:2 ✺
Hungarian Cup
31.10.24	Tiszafüredi - Ferencvárosi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWTW
- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.11.24	Malmö - Brommapojkarna	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.24	Beşiktaş - Malmö	2:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.11.24	Hammarby - Malmö	2:2 ✺
28.10.24	Malmö - IFK Göteborg	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Malmö - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTWL

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