Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport App
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	03:00	QQ Sports
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 8
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 6
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 18, Blue Sport 18, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 11
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 9
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Vietnam	02:00	ON Plus
International	19:00	Disney+


	Malmö		Olympiacos Piraeus

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.45
	2.8	3.4	2.45
	2.92	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.96	3.45	2.5
	2.85	3.43	2.45	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.45
	2.95	3.63	2.5
	2.92	3.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.65)	3.48 ↑ (3.3)	2.46 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
33.4%

Draw
27.6%

Olympiacos Piraeus
39%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

29.1%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	46.2%	38.5%

Malmö - Olympiacos Piraeus Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Olympiacos will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.1% – 70.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Dahlin J. (C) 17. Stryger Larsen J. 19. Rosler C. 18. Jansson P. 25. Busanello 23. Johnsen L. B. 8. Pena S. 22. Ali T. 34. Loukili Z. 38. Bolin H. 20. Botheim E.	88. Tzolakis K. (G) 20. Costinha 45. Retsos P. (C) 16. Carmo D. 3. Ortega F. 96. Mouzakitis C. 32. Hezze S. 23. Rodinei 22. Chiquinho 10. Martins G. 9. El Kaabi A.
Substitutes
16. Berg O. 10. Christiansen A. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 14. Jorgensen S. 33. Makolli E. 13. Olsson M. 30. Persson J. 1. Ricardo Friedrich (G) 5. Rieks S. 7. Rosengren O. 37. Skogmar A. 35. Zatterstrom N.	29. Bakoulas T. 14. Garcia D. 84. Kostoulas C. 19. Masouras G. 74. Ntoi A. 27. Oliveira S. 1. Paschalakis A. (G) 5. Pirola L. 8. Stamenic M. 11. Velde K. 18. Willian 17. Yaremchuk R.
Coaches
Rydstrom H.	Mendilibar J. L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Ortega F. ↓, Pirola L. ↑,
30', 0 - 1, El Kaabi A. ⚽, Martins G. (A),
44', Carmo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Loukili Z. 🟨,
60', Loukili Z. ↓, Christiansen A. ↑,
70', El Kaabi A. 🟨,
70', Johnsen L. B. ↓, Rosengren O. ↑,
70', Ali T. ↓, Berg O. ↑,
78', Pirola L. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
78', Mouzakitis C. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
81', Botheim E. ↓, Rieks S. ↑,
83', Pena S. 🟨,
83', El Kaabi A. (Pen),
86', El Kaabi A. ↓, Stamenic M. ↑,
86', Martins G. ↓, Masouras G. ↑,
90', Tzolakis K. 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Malmö: Haksabanovic S. (Groin Injury) Holmquist Vecchia S. (Back Injury) Lewicki O. (Knee Injury) Moisander N. (Knee Injury) Tinnerholm A. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Olympiacos: Martins G. (Muscle Injury) Willian (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Malmö won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Malmö won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.10.24	Västerås SK - Malmö	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Malmö - Värnamo	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Malmö	1:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.09.24	Malmö - Mjällby	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Malmö - Glasgow Rangers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWWL
- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
20.10.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Levadiakos	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Braga	3:0 ✺
Greek Super League
29.09.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Atromitos Athens	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Lyon - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
09.12.14	Olympiacos Piraeus - Malmö	4:2
01.10.14	Malmö - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:0

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