Match Info

NB I. - Round 31

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Groupama Arena (Budapest)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Ferencvárosi		Paksi SE

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	6.5
	1.38	5	6
	1.45	4.65	5.5
	1.46	4.94	6.02
	1.46	4.75	5.87	Watch
	1.33	5	7
	1.42	4.55	5.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)	4.77 ↓ (4.85)	6.08 ↑ (5.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencvárosi
65.6%

Draw
19.3%

Paksi SE
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

19.2%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

18.6%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Paks will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferencvárosi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Dibusz D. (C) 4. Gomez M. 28. Raemaekers T. 22. Szalai G. 14. Osvath A. 88. Rommens P. 36. Kanichowsky G. 17. Corbu M. 30. Gruber Z. 75. Joseph L. 19. Kovacevic F.	28. Gyetvan M. (G) 17. Hinora K. 3. Alaxai A. 12. Vas G. 5. Vecsei B. 20. Zeke M. 22. Windecker J. (C) 18. Gyurkits G. 19. Horvath K. 15. Szendrei A. 9. Hahn J.
Substitutes
20. Cadu 99. Grof D. (G) 5. Keita N. 71. Lakatos C. 10. Levi J. 76. Lisztes K. 80. Maiga H. 25. Makreckis C. 77. Nagy B. 47. O'Dowda C. 66. Romao J. 16. Zachariassen K.	7. Adam M. 13. Bode D. 1. Kovacsik A. (G) 23. Mate C. 14. Silye E. 25. Simon B. (G) 26. Szekszardi M. 29. Toth B.
Coaches
Keane R.	Bognar G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Kovacevic F. ↓, O'Dowda C. ↑,
32', O'Dowda C. 🟨,
35', Vecsei B. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Joseph L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hahn J. ↓, Adam M. ↑,
46', Adam M. 🟨,
57', Corbu M. 🟨,
64', Szendrei A. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
66', Windecker J. ↓, Mate C. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Joseph L. ⚽, Kanichowsky G. (A),
77', Gruber Z. ↓, Lisztes K. ↑,
77', Hinora K. ↓, Silye E. ↑,
80', Bode D. 🟨,
83', Gyurkits G. 🟨,
86', 🟨,
87', Corbu M. 🟨,
90', Joseph L. ↓, Zachariassen K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Ferencvárosi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ferencvárosi is a strong favorite.

We predict that Ferencvárosi will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 46:31. (average 2.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferencvárosi won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:14. (average 2.6:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ferencvaros	7	3	3	1	11:8	3	12
6	Paks	8	3	2	3	16:17	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Ferencvárosi - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.36%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian Cup
22.04.26	Ferencvárosi - Győri ETO	3:2 penalties ✺
Hungarian NB I
19.04.26	Győri ETO - Ferencvárosi	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Ferencvárosi - Puskás Academy	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Ferencvárosi - Diósgyőri	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Debreceni - Ferencvárosi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW
- Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I
19.04.26	Paksi SE - Puskás Academy	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Paksi SE	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Paksi SE - Kazincbarcikai	5:1 ✺
20.03.26	MTK Budapest - Paksi SE	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Paksi SE - Zalaegerszegi TE	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
01.02.26	Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi	0:1
05.10.25	Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE	2:2
Hungarian Cup
14.05.25	Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE	1:2 penalties
Hungarian NB I
10.05.25	Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi	2:3
16.02.25	Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE	0:2
06.10.24	Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi	3:1
Hungarian Cup
15.05.24	Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi	2:0 ET

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