Match Info

NB I. - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Illovszky Rudolf Stadion (Budapest) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Karako F. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Hungary	13:15	M4 Sport


	Vasas		Paksi SE

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.75	2.70
	2.25	3.75	2.60
	2.28	3.85	2.70
	2.33	4.00	2.73
	2.3	3.92	2.68	Watch
	2.30	3.85	2.70
	2.30	3.76	2.70	Watch
	2.15	3.65	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.24)	3.82 ↓ (4)	2.67 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasas
40.8%

Draw
24.4%

Paksi SE
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.7%

23.4%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

23.3%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasas than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Vasas - Paksi SE Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paks (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Engedi M. (G) 22. Gey V. 36. Barath B. 17. Csoka Dan. 14. Doktorics A. 15. Hidi S. 6. Sztojka D. 10. Kovacsreti M. 88. Urblik J. (C) 68. Girsik A. 9. Koszta M.	28. Gyetvan M. (G) 6. Gyorfi M. 24. Lenzser B. 2. Kinyik A. 5. Vecsei B. 14. Silye E. 8. Balogh B. (C) 21. Papp K. 17. Peto M. 9. Hahn J. 7. Szalai J.
Substitutes
8. Bano-Szabo B. Z. 46. Barkoczi B. 94. Cseke B. 84. Horvath R. 24. Mezei S. 89. Molnar C. 34. Otigba K. 18. Palinkas G. 4. Pavkovics B. 29. Petho B. 7. Rado A. 26. Uram J. (G)	18. Gyurkits G. 10. Haraszti Z. 19. Horvath K. 1. Kovacsik A. (G) 4. Lapu A. 20. Simut M. 30. Szabo J. 29. Toth B. 12. Vas G. 16. Wiesner B. 22. Windecker J.
Coaches
Eros G.	Bognar G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Girsik A. 🟨,
14', Urblik J. 🟨,
35', Lenzser B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Hidi S. 🟨,
60', Hahn J. ↓, Horvath K. ↑,
64', Girsik A. ↓, Molnar C. ↑,
65', Kovacsreti M. 🟨,
71', Sztojka D. ↓, Mezei S. ↑,
71', Koszta M. ↓, Palinkas G. ↑,
76', Barath B. 🟨,
79', Peto M. ↓, Haraszti Z. ↑,
79', Balogh B. ↓, Toth B. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Vecsei B. ⚽,
85', Gey V. ↓, Petho B. ↑,
86', Szalai J. ↓, Windecker J. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Horvath K. ⚽,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 4th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasas won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Vasas has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:32 (averaging 1.1:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vasas against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 12:18 goals (averaging 1.3:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Paks	11	5	2	4	22:19	3	17
6	Vasas	11	4	3	4	18:15	3	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasas SC
Hungarian NB I
16.10.26	MTK Budapest - Vasas	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Vasas - Kisvárda	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Debreceni - Vasas	2:4 ✺
04.09.26	Vasas - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Ujpest - Vasas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTWWL
- Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I
17.10.26	Paksi SE - Győri ETO	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Paksi SE - MTK Budapest	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Kisvárda - Paksi SE	0:1 ✺
Hungarian Cup
12.09.26	Kazincbarcikai - Paksi SE	1:2 ✺
Hungarian NB I
05.09.26	Paksi SE - Debreceni	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian Cup
03.04.24	Vasas - Paksi SE	2:5 ET
Hungarian NB I
19.03.23	Vasas - Paksi SE	2:3
Hungarian Cup
01.03.23	Paksi SE - Vasas	2:3
Hungarian NB I
29.10.22	Paksi SE - Vasas	0:1
05.08.22	Vasas - Paksi SE	2:2
05.05.18	Vasas - Paksi SE	0:1
02.12.17	Paksi SE - Vasas	3:1

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