Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Groupama Arena (Budapest) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport App
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 10, Canal+ Live 8
Hungary	21:00	M4 Sport
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 13, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect
United Kingdom	20:00	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+


	Ferencvárosi		Malmö

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.5
	1.85	3.7	4
	1.85	3.75	4.2
	1.86	3.75	4.33
	1.82	3.72	4.3	Watch
	1.85	3.7	4
	1.91	3.92	4.25
	1.88	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.9)	3.72 ↑ (3.15)	4.22 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencvárosi
51.6%

Draw
25.7%

Malmö
22.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.6%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

26.6%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Ferencvárosi - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: Ferencvárosi will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Dibusz D. (C) 25. Makreckis C. 27. Cisse I. 3. Gartenmann S. 99. Ramirez C. 15. Abu Fani M. 80. Maiga H. 11. Saldanha 10. Kady Borges 20. Traore A. 19. Varga B.	1. Ricardo Friedrich (G) 17. Stryger Larsen J. 19. Rosler C. 35. Zatterstrom N. 25. Busanello 8. Pena S. 23. Johnsen L. B. 7. Rosengren O. 10. Christiansen A. (C) 38. Bolin H. 20. Botheim E.
Substitutes
7. Ben Romdhane M. A. 21. Botka E. 30. Gruber Z. 54. Kajan N. 93. Misidjan V. 65. Ori L. (G) 8. Pesic A. 88. Rommens P. 22. Szalai G. 64. Toth A. 1. Varga A. (G) 16. Zachariassen K.	16. Berg O. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 14. Jorgensen S. 9. Kiese Thelin I. 6. Lewicki O. 34. Loukili Z. 33. Makolli E. 39. Nieroth W. (G) 13. Olsson M. 30. Persson J. (G) 5. Rieks S. 37. Skogmar A.
Coaches
Jansen P.	Rydstrom H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Varga B. (Pen),
11', 2 - 0, Varga B. ⚽, Kady Borges (A),
15', Stryger Larsen J. 🟨,
18', 2 - 1, Botheim E. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 3 - 1, Kady Borges ⚽,
62', Saldanha ↓, Zachariassen K. ↑,
66', Pena S. ↓, Kiese Thelin I. ↑,
68', Varga B. 🟨,
74', Kady Borges ↓, Ben Romdhane M. A. ↑,
74', 4 - 1, Cisse I. ⚽, Abu Fani M. (A),
83', Botheim E. ↓, Berg O. ↑,
83', Stryger Larsen J. ↓, Skogmar A. ↑,
83', Christiansen A. ↓, Loukili Z. ↑,
86', Abu Fani M. ↓, Rommens P. ↑,
86', Cisse I. ↓, Szalai G. ↑,
86', Varga B. ↓, Pesic A. ↑,
87', Bolin H. ↓, Gudjohnsen D. T. ↑,
90', Kiese Thelin I. 🟨,

Preview

Ferencvárosi is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Malmö is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferencvárosi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ferencvárosi is a favorite.

There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Raul Gustavo (Broken collarbone)

There will not play in Malmö: Dahlin J. (Injury) Haksabanovic S. (Groin Injury) Holmquist Vecchia S. (Back Injury) Moisander N. (Knee Injury) Stryger Larsen J. (Knee Injury) Tinnerholm A. (Groin Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
24.11.24	Ferencvárosi - Diósgyőri	3:3 ✺
10.11.24	Kecskemeti - Ferencvárosi	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Ferencvárosi	0:4 ✺
Hungarian NB I
03.11.24	Ferencvárosi - Debreceni	2:2 ✺
Hungarian Cup
31.10.24	Tiszafüredi - Ferencvárosi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWTW
- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.11.24	Malmö - Brommapojkarna	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.24	Beşiktaş - Malmö	2:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.11.24	Hammarby - Malmö	2:2 ✺
28.10.24	Malmö - IFK Göteborg	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Malmö - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTWL

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