Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 27 July 2023, Thursday

Location: Groupama Arena (Budapest)

Referee: Ghaltakhchyan A. (Arm)


	Ferencvárosi		Shamrock Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.75	6.5
	1.26	5.5	9
	1.28	5.45	9.05
	1.27	5.5	9
	1.27	5.23	9.22
	1.27	5.65	10.5
	1.31	5.8	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.37)	5.55 ↑ (4.95)	8.95 ↑ (6.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencvárosi
72.8%

Draw
16.8%

Shamrock Rovers
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

18.7%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

15.8%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferencvárosi's performance.

Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferencvárosi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shamrock Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	22.7%	13.6%

Ferencvárosi - Shamrock Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Shamrock will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferencvárosi: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Dibusz D. (C) 25. Makreckis C. 3. Mmaee S. 27. Cisse I. 99. Ramirez C. 18. Siger D. 15. Abu Fani M. 16. Zachariassen K. 50. Marquinhos 19. Varga B. 20. Traore A.	1. Mannus A. (G) 6. Cleary D. 4. Lopes R. (C) 5. Grace L. 11. Kavanagh S. 27. Burt L. 19. Poom M. 16. O'Neill G. 3. Hoare S. 17. Towell R. 24. Kenny J.
Substitutes
22. Abena M. 30. Barath P. 7. Ben Romdhane M. 17. Civic E. 13. Esiti A. 14. Gojak A. 55. Katona B. 4. Knoester M. 76. Lisztes K. 11. Owusu 23. Paszka L. 1. Varga A. (G)	10. Burke G. 31. Cruise K. 8. Finn R. 2. Gannon S. 9. Greene A. 30. Leitis T. (G) 34. Noonan C. 25. Pohls L. (G) 14. Power S. 39. Razi N. 7. Watts D.
Coaches
Mate C.	Bradley S.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Ferencvárosi is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shamrock has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shamrock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Shamrock have a series of guest games.

In this match Ferencvárosi is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ferencvárosi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferencvárosi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC
UEFA Champions League
19.07.23	Ferencvárosi - KÍ Klaksvík	0:3 ✺
11.07.23	KÍ Klaksvík - Ferencvárosi	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.23	Botoșani - Ferencvárosi	0:3 ✺
30.06.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Ferencvárosi	2:1 ✺
27.06.23	Ferencvárosi - Qarabağ Agdam	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTWLT
- Shamrock Rovers
Irish FAI Cup
23.07.23	Dundalk - Shamrock Rovers	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.07.23	Breiðablik - Shamrock Rovers	2:1 ✺
11.07.23	Shamrock Rovers - Breiðablik	0:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
07.07.23	Drogheda United - Shamrock Rovers	0:0 ✺
30.06.23	Dundalk - Shamrock Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
25.08.22	Shamrock Rovers - Ferencvárosi	1:0
18.08.22	Ferencvárosi - Shamrock Rovers	4:0

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