Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Salzburg)

Referee: Kikacheishvili G. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Servus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 11
Germany	RTL+, Servus TV
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	M4 Sport
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	Sport 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 9
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 12
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Red Bull Salzburg		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.8	3
	2.22	3.8	3.1
	2.27	3.75	3.06
	1.47	4.52	6.14	Watch
	2.21	3.89	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.96)	3.95 ↑ (3.87)	3.71 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
48.1%

Draw
25.1%

Ferencvárosi
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

24.6%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.7%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Ferencvárosi aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.1%	6.2%	16.7%

Red Bull Salzburg - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Salzburg will win (votes: 37 - 77.1%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 8 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salzburg: 65.2% – 89%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Salzburg (3.20) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Ferencvárosi (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Red Bull Salzburg will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 18 - 85.7%). Ferencvárosi (votes: 3 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schlager A. (C) 22. Lainer S. 23. Gadou J. 2. Rasmussen J. 13. Kratzig F. 49. Yeo M. K. 5. Diabate S. 14. Kjaergaard M. 27. Alajbegovic K. 21. Ratkov P. 20. Baidoo E.	90. Dibusz D. (C) 3. Gartenmann S. 28. Raemaekers T. 27. Cisse I. 25. Makreckis C. 23. Otvos B. 36. Kanichowsky G. 16. Zachariassen K. 20. Cadu 19. Varga B. 11. Dele
Substitutes
43. Aguilar E. 7. Bischoff C. 15. Diambou M. 29. Gourna-Douath L. 92. Hamzic S. (G) 8. Kitano S. 9. Onisiwo K. 37. Trummer T. 11. Vertessen Y. 52. Zawieschitzky C. (G) 48. Zikovic R.	99. Grof D. (G) 30. Gruber Z. 75. Joseph L. 5. Keita N. 10. Levi J. 76. Lisztes K. 72. Madarasz A. 47. O'Dowda C. 8. Pesic A. 63. Radnoti D. (G) 66. Romao J. 22. Szalai G.
Coaches
Letsch T.	Keane R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Baidoo E. ⚽,
22', Varga B. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 1 - 1, Varga B. ⚽, Otvos B. (A),
56', 1 - 2, Zachariassen K. ⚽, Cadu (A),
58', 1 - 3, Dele ⚽,
63', Kjaergaard M. ↓, Kitano S. ↑,
63', Yeo M. K. ↓, Vertessen Y. ↑,
65', Zachariassen K. 🟨,
72', Dele ↓, Joseph L. ↑,
72', 2 - 3, Vertessen Y. ⚽, Kitano S. (A),
75', Baidoo E. ↓, Bischoff C. ↑,
75', Ratkov P. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
78', Kanichowsky G. ↓, Keita N. ↑,
78', Cadu ↓, O'Dowda C. ↑,
81', Raemaekers T. 🟨,
81', Kratzig F. ↓, Trummer T. ↑,
84', Varga B. ↓, Levi J. ↑,
90+4', O'Dowda C. 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Salzburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ferencvárosi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Salzburg could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Salzburg: Bidstrup M. (Hamstring Injury) Chase A. (Inactive) Kawamura T. (Knee Injury) Konate K. (Knee Injury) Mellberg J. (Knee Injury) Omoregie J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sulzbacher V. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Lisztes K. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Salzburg: Schuster J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ferencvárosi: O'Dowda C. (Injury) Toth A. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Salzburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Salzburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
19.10.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Rheindorf Altach	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Lyon - Red Bull Salzburg	2:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
28.09.25	Swarovski Tirol - Red Bull Salzburg	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Porto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWLWL
- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
19.10.25	Ujpest - Ferencvárosi	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Genk - Ferencvárosi	0:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
28.09.25	Győri ETO - Ferencvárosi	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Ferencvárosi - Viktoria Plzeň	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.06.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Ferencvárosi	2:1

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